Public election intelligence

Every contest, source-led and testable.

UK Elections is being built as a public record of candidates, boundaries, historic results, forecast probabilities, confidence intervals, and backtests across UK elections.

Repository Live

GitHub is connected and deploying the static scaffold from the main branch.

Cloudflare Pages Live

The project is deployed at the temporary Pages domain until the production domain is bought.

Data ingestion Queued

Candidate, result, boundary, and polling ingestion are specified before any forecast claims go public.

First release scope

Build the rails before publishing numbers.

Seat pages

One stable page per constituency or contest, with candidates, previous results, boundary notes, and links to source records.

Forecast records

Probabilities only ship with model version, training window, input snapshot, and P10/P50/P90 or equivalent intervals.

Backtests

Every model release needs an archive of past predictions, error metrics, and missed-call analysis.