After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 51 seats · 51 up on May 7
Council · London borough
Barking and Dagenham
Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
9 of 51 seats
Won 9 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Barking and Dagenham
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey | Labour | Labour | 46.8% | medium |
| Alibon | Labour | Labour | 50.8% | medium |
| Barking Riverside | Labour | Labour | 39.5% | medium |
| Beam | Labour | Labour | 38.4% | medium |
| Becontree | Labour | Labour | 52.6% | medium |
| Chadwell Heath | Labour | Labour | 47.7% | medium |
| Eastbrook & Rush Green | Labour | Reform UK | 32.4% | medium |
| Eastbury | Labour | Labour | 41.9% | medium |
| Gascoigne | Labour | Green Party | 46.7% | medium |
| Goresbrook | Labour | Reform UK | 43.9% | medium |
| Heath | Labour | Labour | 49.3% | medium |
| Longbridge | Labour | Green Party | 36.5% | medium |
| Mayesbrook | Labour | Labour | 33.9% | medium |
| Northbury | Labour | Labour | 43.8% | medium |
| Parsloes | Labour | Reform UK | 43.6% | medium |
| Thames View | Labour | Labour | 31.0% | medium |
| Valence | Labour | Labour | 48.0% | medium |
| Village | Labour | Labour | 37.7% | medium |
| Whalebone | Labour | Labour | 44.7% | medium |