Location map of Barnet on the UK map

Council · London borough

Barnet

No overall control. Conservative largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Conservative largest party

Council size: 63 seats · 63 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 63 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 1 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Conservative
31
Labour
31
Green Party
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Barnet

75% 18 / 24 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.03pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+3.67pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
24
Conservative
22
Reform UK
15
Green Party
2

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Barnet Vale Conservative Labour 32.3% medium
Brunswick Park Labour Conservative 32.9% medium
Burnt Oak Labour Labour 33.8% medium
Childs Hill Labour Conservative 31.8% medium
Colindale North Labour Labour 45.2% medium
Colindale South Labour Labour 39.8% medium
Cricklewood Labour Labour 44.5% medium
East Barnet Labour Labour 32.5% medium
East Finchley Labour Labour 38.3% medium
Edgware Conservative Conservative 40.1% medium
Edgwarebury Conservative Conservative 39.4% medium
Finchley Church End Conservative Conservative 38.7% medium
Friern Barnet Labour Labour 38.5% medium
Garden Suburb Conservative Conservative 35.2% medium
Golders Green Conservative Conservative 54.5% medium
Hendon Conservative Conservative 37.9% medium
High Barnet Labour Conservative 35.8% medium
Mill Hill Conservative Conservative 31.1% medium
Totteridge & Woodside Conservative Conservative 34.8% medium
Underhill Labour Labour 36.3% medium
West Finchley Labour Labour 35.1% medium
West Hendon Labour Labour 33.1% medium
Whetstone Reform UK Conservative 28.6% medium
Woodhouse Labour Green Party 36.8% medium

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