After May 7
No overall control. Conservative largest party
Council size: 63 seats · 63 up on May 7
Council · London borough
Barnet
No overall control. Conservative largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
0 of 63 seats
Won 0 on May 7 · had 1 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Barnet
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet Vale | Conservative | Labour | 28.9% | medium |
| Brunswick Park | Labour | Conservative | 27.4% | medium |
| Burnt Oak | Reform UK | Labour | 29.4% | medium |
| Childs Hill | Labour | Conservative | 26.4% | medium |
| Colindale North | Labour | Labour | 37.8% | medium |
| Colindale South | Labour | Labour | 33.2% | medium |
| Cricklewood | Labour | Labour | 37.5% | medium |
| East Barnet | Labour | Labour | 27.2% | medium |
| East Finchley | Labour | Labour | 31.2% | medium |
| Edgware | Conservative | Conservative | 35.1% | medium |
| Edgwarebury | Conservative | Conservative | 35.4% | medium |
| Finchley Church End | Conservative | Conservative | 34.9% | medium |
| Friern Barnet | Labour | Labour | 31.5% | medium |
| Garden Suburb | Conservative | Conservative | 31.0% | medium |
| Golders Green | Conservative | Conservative | 49.6% | medium |
| Hendon | Reform UK | Conservative | 37.5% | medium |
| High Barnet | Labour | Conservative | 30.3% | medium |
| Mill Hill | Conservative | Conservative | 26.8% | medium |
| Totteridge & Woodside | Conservative | Conservative | 30.2% | medium |
| Underhill | Labour | Labour | 30.5% | medium |
| West Finchley | Labour | Labour | 28.7% | medium |
| West Hendon | Labour | Labour | 27.0% | medium |
| Whetstone | Reform UK | Conservative | 31.7% | medium |
| Woodhouse | Labour | Green Party | 30.7% | medium |