Location map of Basildon on the UK map

Council · District council

Basildon

No overall control. Conservative largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Conservative largest party

Council size: 42 seats · 14 up on May 7

Reform UK

11 of 42 seats

Won 11 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Conservative
12
Labour
12
Reform UK
11
Independent / Other
7

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when Basildon next votes

Basildon sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Basildon

71% 10 / 14 winners called correctly across this council's wards
5.89pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-4.99pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
13
Independent
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Billericay East Reform UK Conservative 34.0% high
Billericay West Reform UK Conservative 34.3% high
Burstead Reform UK Conservative 34.5% high
Castledon & Crouch Reform UK Reform UK 34.4% medium
Fryerns Reform UK Reform UK 35.7% high
Laindon Park Reform UK Reform UK 34.9% high
Langdon Hills Reform UK Reform UK 34.3% high
Lee Chapel North Reform UK Reform UK 35.8% high
Nethermayne Independent Reform UK 38.1% high
Pitsea North West Reform UK Reform UK 35.7% high
Pitsea South East Reform UK Reform UK 34.9% high
St Martin's Reform UK Reform UK 42.9% high
Wickford North Reform UK Reform UK 34.1% high
Wickford Park Reform UK Reform UK 42.4% high

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