After May 7
Conservative majority
Council size: 45 seats · 45 up on May 7
Council · London borough
Bexley
Conservative majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
8 of 45 seats
Won 8 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Bexley
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnehurst | Conservative | Conservative | 45.0% | medium |
| Belvedere | Labour | Labour | 28.7% | medium |
| Bexleyheath | Conservative | Conservative | 38.7% | medium |
| Blackfen & Lamorbey | Conservative | Conservative | 39.5% | medium |
| Blendon & Penhill | Conservative | Conservative | 45.5% | medium |
| Crayford | Conservative | Reform UK | 37.7% | medium |
| Crook Log | Conservative | Conservative | 37.4% | medium |
| East Wickham | Conservative | Conservative | 35.7% | medium |
| Erith | Labour | Labour | 42.5% | medium |
| Falconwood & Welling | Conservative | Conservative | 34.9% | medium |
| Longlands | Conservative | Conservative | 40.9% | medium |
| Northumberland Heath | Labour | Reform UK | 32.3% | medium |
| Sidcup | Conservative | Conservative | 33.7% | medium |
| Slade Green & Northend | Labour | Labour | 38.3% | medium |
| St Mary's & St James | Conservative | Conservative | 47.5% | medium |
| Thamesmead East | Labour | Labour | 37.7% | medium |
| West Heath | Conservative | Conservative | 33.1% | medium |