After May 7
No overall control. Reform UK largest party
Council size: 90 seats · 87 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Bradford
No overall control. Reform UK largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
29 of 90 seats
Won 29 on May 7 · had 0 before · largest party
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Bradford
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airedale | Reform UK | Conservative | 36.7% | low |
| Baildon | Conservative | Conservative | 37.0% | high |
| Bingley East | Reform UK | Reform UK | 27.5% | low |
| Bingley West | Reform UK | Conservative | 37.2% | low |
| Bolton & Undercliffe | Reform UK | Labour | 27.6% | low |
| Bowling & Barkerend | Reform UK | Labour | 27.6% | low |
| Bradford Moor | Lib Dem | Labour | 34.1% | high |
| City | Independent | Labour | 43.5% | high |
| Clayton & Fairweather Green | Reform UK | Reform UK | 27.6% | low |
| Eccleshill | Labour | Reform UK | 31.0% | high |
| Great Horton | Independent | Labour | 39.3% | high |
| Heaton & Frizinghall | Reform UK | Green Party | 27.6% | low |
| Holme Wood & Bierley | Reform UK | Green Party | 37.5% | low |
| Idle & Thackley | n/a | Not yet declared | n/a | none |
| Ilkley & Addingham | Reform UK | Conservative | 37.5% | low |
| Keighley Central | Labour | Independent | 37.6% | high |
| Keighley East | Labour | Labour | 37.9% | high |
| Keighley West | Labour | Reform UK | 31.2% | high |
| Little Horton | Independent | Your Bradford Independent group | 58.6% | high |
| Manningham | Independent | Your Bradford Independent group | 64.7% | high |
| Queensbury | Independent | Reform UK | 37.0% | high |
| Royds | Labour | Reform UK | 48.3% | high |
| Shipley | Green Party | Green Party | 56.1% | high |
| Thornton & Allerton | Reform UK | Reform UK | 27.5% | low |
| Toller | Independent | Independent | 44.5% | high |
| Wharfedale | Labour | Conservative | 33.0% | high |
| Wibsey & Odsal | Reform UK | Reform UK | 27.6% | low |
| Windhill & Wrose | Reform UK | Reform UK | 27.6% | low |
| Worth Valley | Conservative | Conservative | 48.3% | high |
| Wyke | Labour | Reform UK | 36.1% | high |