Location map of Brent on the UK map

Council · London borough

Brent

No overall control. Labour largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Labour largest party

Council size: 57 seats · 57 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 57 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
21
Conservative
11
Lib Dem
9
Green Party
8

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Brent

58% 11 / 19 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.13pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+5.93pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
22
Reform UK
15
Conservative
10
Green Party
6
Lib Dem
4

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Alperton Lib Dem Lib Dem 49.4% medium
Barnhill Labour Labour 37.5% medium
Brondesbury Park Labour Labour 29.8% medium
Cricklewood & Mapesbury Labour Labour 35.9% medium
Dollis Hill Labour Labour 33.9% medium
Harlesden & Kensal Green Labour Labour 34.7% medium
Kenton Reform UK Conservative 27.5% medium
Kilburn Labour Green Party 34.5% medium
Kingsbury Labour Labour 35.4% medium
Northwick Park Labour Green Party 32.7% medium
Preston Labour Conservative 35.1% medium
Queens Park Labour Lib Dem 27.3% medium
Queensbury Conservative Conservative 34.0% medium
Roundwood Labour Labour 40.3% medium
Stonebridge Labour Not yet declared 37.6% medium
Sudbury Lib Dem Not yet declared 33.3% medium
Tokyngton Labour Labour 37.5% medium
Welsh Harp Reform UK Conservative 25.6% medium
Wembley Central Labour Lib Dem 30.1% medium
Wembley Hill Reform UK Labour 27.9% medium
Wembley Park Labour Green Party 35.2% medium
Willesden Green Labour Not yet declared 27.8% medium

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