After May 7
No overall control. Labour largest party
Council size: 57 seats · 57 up on May 7
Council · London borough
No overall control. Labour largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
No overall control. Labour largest party
Council size: 57 seats · 57 up on May 7
Reform UK
0 of 57 seats
Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperton | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 49.4% | medium |
| Barnhill | Labour | Labour | 37.5% | medium |
| Brondesbury Park | Labour | Labour | 29.8% | medium |
| Cricklewood & Mapesbury | Labour | Labour | 35.9% | medium |
| Dollis Hill | Labour | Labour | 33.9% | medium |
| Harlesden & Kensal Green | Labour | Labour | 34.7% | medium |
| Kenton | Reform UK | Conservative | 27.5% | medium |
| Kilburn | Labour | Green Party | 34.5% | medium |
| Kingsbury | Labour | Labour | 35.4% | medium |
| Northwick Park | Labour | Green Party | 32.7% | medium |
| Preston | Labour | Conservative | 35.1% | medium |
| Queens Park | Labour | Lib Dem | 27.3% | medium |
| Queensbury | Conservative | Conservative | 34.0% | medium |
| Roundwood | Labour | Labour | 40.3% | medium |
| Stonebridge | Labour | Not yet declared | 37.6% | medium |
| Sudbury | Lib Dem | Not yet declared | 33.3% | medium |
| Tokyngton | Labour | Labour | 37.5% | medium |
| Welsh Harp | Reform UK | Conservative | 25.6% | medium |
| Wembley Central | Labour | Lib Dem | 30.1% | medium |
| Wembley Hill | Reform UK | Labour | 27.9% | medium |
| Wembley Park | Labour | Green Party | 35.2% | medium |
| Willesden Green | Labour | Not yet declared | 27.8% | medium |