Location map of Bromley on the UK map

Council · London borough

Bromley

Conservative majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Conservative majority

Council size: 58 seats · 58 up on May 7

Reform UK

6 of 58 seats

Won 6 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Conservative
35
Labour
8
Lib Dem
6
Reform UK
6
Independent / Other
3

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Bromley

86% 19 / 22 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.71pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+1.67pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
19
Conservative
19
Labour
12
Green Party
4
Lib Dem
3
Chislehurst Matters
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Beckenham Town & Copers Cope Reform UK Lib Dem 27.6% medium
Bickley & Sundridge Conservative Conservative 31.2% medium
Biggin Hill Reform UK Reform UK 34.1% medium
Bromley Common & Holwood Reform UK Conservative 39.2% medium
Bromley Town Lib Dem Lib Dem 30.6% medium
Chelsfield Conservative Conservative 28.7% medium
Chislehurst Chislehurst Matters Chislehurst Matters 34.5% medium
Clock House Labour Labour 36.0% medium
Crystal Palace & Anerley Labour Labour 38.1% medium
Darwin Conservative Conservative 52.4% medium
Farnborough & Crofton Reform UK Conservative 30.8% medium
Hayes & Coney Hall Conservative Conservative 34.0% medium
Kelsey & Eden Park Reform UK Conservative 36.4% medium
Mottingham Conservative Conservative 34.1% medium
Orpington Conservative Conservative 35.1% medium
Penge & Cator Labour Labour 34.9% medium
Petts Wood & Knoll Conservative Conservative 32.1% medium
Plaistow Reform UK Conservative 24.9% medium
Shortlands & Park Langley Conservative Conservative 32.1% medium
St Mary Cray Reform UK Conservative 32.3% medium
St Paul's Cray Reform UK Reform UK 35.1% medium
West Wickham Conservative Conservative 30.8% medium

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