Location map of Bromley on the UK map

Council · London borough

Bromley

Conservative majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Conservative majority

Council size: 58 seats · 58 up on May 7

Reform UK

6 of 58 seats

Won 6 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Conservative
35
Labour
8
Lib Dem
6
Reform UK
6
Independent / Other
3

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Bromley

86% 19 / 22 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.71pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+1.67pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Conservative
20
Reform UK
15
Labour
15
Green Party
4
Lib Dem
3
Chislehurst Matters
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Beckenham Town & Copers Cope Conservative Lib Dem 26.2% medium
Bickley & Sundridge Conservative Conservative 35.7% medium
Biggin Hill Conservative Reform UK 33.0% medium
Bromley Common & Holwood Reform UK Conservative 37.8% medium
Bromley Town Lib Dem Lib Dem 29.7% medium
Chelsfield Conservative Conservative 33.6% medium
Chislehurst Chislehurst Matters Chislehurst Matters 37.3% medium
Clock House Labour Labour 43.1% medium
Crystal Palace & Anerley Labour Labour 44.7% medium
Darwin Conservative Conservative 57.5% medium
Farnborough & Crofton Conservative Conservative 28.7% medium
Hayes & Coney Hall Conservative Conservative 38.0% medium
Kelsey & Eden Park Reform UK Conservative 29.2% medium
Mottingham Conservative Conservative 37.9% medium
Orpington Conservative Conservative 39.7% medium
Penge & Cator Labour Labour 41.6% medium
Petts Wood & Knoll Conservative Conservative 36.9% medium
Plaistow Labour Conservative 28.0% medium
Shortlands & Park Langley Conservative Conservative 36.0% medium
St Mary Cray Conservative Conservative 35.3% medium
St Paul's Cray Labour Reform UK 30.3% medium
West Wickham Conservative Conservative 34.3% medium

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