Location map of Broxbourne on the UK map

Council · District council

Broxbourne

Conservative majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Conservative majority

Council size: 30 seats · 10 up on May 7

Reform UK

3 of 30 seats

Won 2 on May 7 · had 2 before

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Conservative
24
Labour
3
Reform UK
3

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when Broxbourne next votes

Broxbourne sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Broxbourne

80% 8 / 10 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.22pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-9.08pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Conservative
9
Labour
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Broxbourne and Hoddesdon South Conservative Conservative 41.0% high
Cheshunt North Conservative Conservative 35.2% high
Cheshunt South and Theobalds Conservative Conservative 30.6% high
Flamstead End Conservative Conservative 36.6% high
Goffs Oak Conservative Conservative 36.5% high
Hoddesdon North Conservative Conservative 49.1% high
Hoddesdon Town and Rye Park Conservative Reform UK 30.1% high
Rosedale and Bury Green Conservative Reform UK 35.1% high
Waltham Cross Labour Labour 30.7% high
Wormley and Turnford Conservative Conservative 38.1% high

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