Location map of Burnley on the UK map

Council · District council

Burnley

No overall control. Reform UK largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Reform UK largest party

Council size: 45 seats · 15 up on May 7

Reform UK

11 of 45 seats

Won 11 on May 7 · had 0 before · largest party

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Reform UK
11
Independent / Other
10
Labour
9
Lib Dem
6
Conservative
5
Green Party
3

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when Burnley next votes

Burnley sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Burnley

87% 13 / 15 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.09pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-3.07pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
11
Independent
3
Conservative
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Bank Hall Independent Independent 46.9% high
Briercliffe Reform UK Reform UK 45.7% high
Brunshaw Reform UK Reform UK 43.6% high
Cliviger with Worsthorne Reform UK Reform UK 40.3% high
Coal Clough with Deerplay Reform UK Lib Dem 41.8% high
Daneshouse with Stoneyholme Independent Independent 44.7% high
Gannow Reform UK Reform UK 45.7% high
Gawthorpe Reform UK Reform UK 41.1% high
Hapton with Park Conservative Reform UK 37.4% high
Lanehead Reform UK Reform UK 35.8% high
Queensgate Independent Independent 60.9% high
Rosegrove with Lowerhouse Reform UK Reform UK 47.1% high
Rosehill with Burnley Wood Reform UK Reform UK 45.9% high
Trinity Reform UK Reform UK 47.5% high
Whittlefield with Ightenhill Reform UK Reform UK 39.5% high

← All councils