After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 51 seats · 16 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 51 seats · 16 up on May 7
Reform UK
5 of 51 seats
Won 5 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besses | Labour | Labour | 39.3% | high |
| Bury East | Labour | Labour | 39.9% | high |
| Bury West | Conservative | Reform UK | 41.5% | high |
| Elton | Conservative | Reform UK | 30.5% | high |
| Holyrood | Labour | Labour | 35.2% | high |
| Moorside | n/a | Not yet declared | n/a | none |
| North Manor | Conservative | Labour | 34.1% | high |
| Pilkington Park | Labour | Reform UK | 33.9% | high |
| Radcliffe East | Radcliffe First | Radcliffe First | 41.4% | high |
| Radcliffe North & Ainsworth | Radcliffe First | Reform UK | 33.9% | high |
| Radcliffe West | Radcliffe First | Radcliffe First | 38.8% | high |
| Ramsbottom | Labour | Labour | 34.4% | high |
| Redvales | Reform UK | Workers Party | 27.3% | high |
| Sedgley | Labour | Labour | 48.4% | high |
| St. Mary's | Labour | Labour | 45.4% | high |
| Tottington | Reform UK | Independent | 38.8% | high |
| Unsworth | Reform UK | Reform UK | 27.7% | high |