Location map of Bury on the UK map

Council · Metropolitan borough

Bury

Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Labour majority

Council size: 51 seats · 16 up on May 7

Reform UK

5 of 51 seats

Won 5 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2027

By thirds, three years in four.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
29
Independent / Other
10
Conservative
7
Reform UK
5

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Bury

63% 10 / 16 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.18pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+0.84pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
7
Conservative
3
Radcliffe First
3
Reform UK
3

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Besses Labour Labour 39.3% high
Bury East Labour Labour 39.9% high
Bury West Conservative Reform UK 41.5% high
Elton Conservative Reform UK 30.5% high
Holyrood Labour Labour 35.2% high
Moorside n/a Not yet declared n/a none
North Manor Conservative Labour 34.1% high
Pilkington Park Labour Reform UK 33.9% high
Radcliffe East Radcliffe First Radcliffe First 41.4% high
Radcliffe North & Ainsworth Radcliffe First Reform UK 33.9% high
Radcliffe West Radcliffe First Radcliffe First 38.8% high
Ramsbottom Labour Labour 34.4% high
Redvales Reform UK Workers Party 27.3% high
Sedgley Labour Labour 48.4% high
St. Mary's Labour Labour 45.4% high
Tottington Reform UK Independent 38.8% high
Unsworth Reform UK Reform UK 27.7% high

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