After May 7
No overall control. Labour largest party
Council size: 54 seats · 54 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Coventry
No overall control. Labour largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
20 of 54 seats
Won 20 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Coventry
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bablake | Conservative | Reform UK | 29.9% | high |
| Binley & Willenhall | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.3% | low |
| Cheylesmore | Conservative | Conservative | 31.3% | high |
| Earlsdon | Labour | Labour | 36.6% | high |
| Foleshill | Labour | Labour | 47.4% | high |
| Henley | Labour | Reform UK | 40.8% | high |
| Holbrooks | Reform UK | Green Party | 35.5% | low |
| Longford | Labour | Labour | 47.0% | high |
| Lower Stoke | Labour | Labour | 43.8% | high |
| Radford | Labour | Labour | 43.2% | high |
| Sherbourne | Labour | Reform UK | 27.5% | high |
| St Michael's | Labour | Labour | 39.4% | high |
| Tile Hill & Canley | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.4% | low |
| Upper Stoke | Labour | Labour | 42.0% | high |
| Wainbody | Conservative | Conservative | 38.2% | high |
| Whoberley | Labour | Labour | 37.0% | high |
| Woodlands | Conservative | Reform UK | 40.0% | high |
| Wyken | Labour | Reform UK | 28.7% | high |