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Council · District council

Crawley

Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Labour majority

Council size: 36 seats · 13 up on May 7

Reform UK

10 of 36 seats

Won 10 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
19
Reform UK
10
Conservative
7

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when Crawley next votes

Crawley sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Crawley

67% 8 / 12 winners called correctly across this council's wards
4.42pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-2.96pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
5
Conservative
5
Reform UK
3

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Bewbush & North Broadfield Labour Reform UK 32.6% high
Broadfield Labour Reform UK 39.6% high
Furnace Green Conservative Reform UK 41.2% high
Ifield Labour Reform UK 32.1% high
Langley Green & Tushmore Labour Labour 36.9% high
Maidenbower Conservative Reform UK 28.3% high
Northgate & West Green Reform UK Reform UK 29.2% high
Pound Hill North & Forge Wood Conservative Reform UK 29.6% high
Pound Hill South & Worth Conservative Reform UK 40.0% high
Southgate Reform UK Reform UK 29.2% high
Three Bridges Reform UK Labour 29.3% high
Tilgate Conservative Reform UK 31.6% high

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