Location map of Croydon on the UK map

Council · London borough

Croydon

No overall control. Labour largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Labour largest party

Council size: 70 seats · 70 up on May 7

Reform UK

2 of 70 seats

Won 2 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
30
Conservative
28
Green Party
8
Lib Dem
2
Reform UK
2

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Croydon

83% 24 / 29 winners called correctly across this council's wards
5.12pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+3.78pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
20
Conservative
19
Reform UK
18
Green Party
11
Lib Dem
2

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Addiscombe East Labour Labour 29.0% medium
Addiscombe West Labour Labour 31.0% medium
Bensham Manor Reform UK Labour 26.6% medium
Broad Green Labour Labour 33.1% medium
Coulsdon Town Reform UK Conservative 27.8% medium
Crystal Palace & Upper Norwood Reform UK Green Party 27.7% medium
Fairfield Green Party Green Party 34.0% medium
Kenley Conservative Conservative 41.1% medium
London Borough of Croydon Labour Conservative 26.1% low
New Addington North Labour Labour 29.6% medium
New Addington South Conservative Reform UK 39.1% medium
Norbury & Pollards Hill Labour Labour 28.6% medium
Norbury Park Labour Labour 31.6% medium
Old Coulsdon Conservative Conservative 31.8% medium
Park Hill & Whitgift Conservative Conservative 32.0% medium
Purley & Woodcote Conservative Conservative 30.1% medium
Purley Oaks & Riddlesdown Conservative Conservative 39.2% medium
Sanderstead Conservative Conservative 40.1% medium
Selhurst Labour Labour 34.2% medium
Selsdon & Addington Village Conservative Conservative 40.0% medium
Selsdon Vale & Forestdale Conservative Conservative 41.7% medium
Shirley North Conservative Conservative 33.8% medium
Shirley South Conservative Conservative 35.6% medium
South Croydon Conservative Conservative 40.4% medium
South Norwood Labour Green Party 31.2% medium
Thornton Heath Labour Labour 26.2% medium
Waddon Labour Labour 29.8% medium
West Thornton Labour Labour 35.2% medium
Woodside Labour Labour 31.4% medium

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