After May 7
No overall control. Labour largest party
Council size: 70 seats · 70 up on May 7
Council · London borough
No overall control. Labour largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
No overall control. Labour largest party
Council size: 70 seats · 70 up on May 7
Reform UK
2 of 70 seats
Won 2 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addiscombe East | Labour | Labour | 29.0% | medium |
| Addiscombe West | Labour | Labour | 31.0% | medium |
| Bensham Manor | Reform UK | Labour | 26.6% | medium |
| Broad Green | Labour | Labour | 33.1% | medium |
| Coulsdon Town | Reform UK | Conservative | 27.8% | medium |
| Crystal Palace & Upper Norwood | Reform UK | Green Party | 27.7% | medium |
| Fairfield | Green Party | Green Party | 34.0% | medium |
| Kenley | Conservative | Conservative | 41.1% | medium |
| London Borough of Croydon | Labour | Conservative | 26.1% | low |
| New Addington North | Labour | Labour | 29.6% | medium |
| New Addington South | Conservative | Reform UK | 39.1% | medium |
| Norbury & Pollards Hill | Labour | Labour | 28.6% | medium |
| Norbury Park | Labour | Labour | 31.6% | medium |
| Old Coulsdon | Conservative | Conservative | 31.8% | medium |
| Park Hill & Whitgift | Conservative | Conservative | 32.0% | medium |
| Purley & Woodcote | Conservative | Conservative | 30.1% | medium |
| Purley Oaks & Riddlesdown | Conservative | Conservative | 39.2% | medium |
| Sanderstead | Conservative | Conservative | 40.1% | medium |
| Selhurst | Labour | Labour | 34.2% | medium |
| Selsdon & Addington Village | Conservative | Conservative | 40.0% | medium |
| Selsdon Vale & Forestdale | Conservative | Conservative | 41.7% | medium |
| Shirley North | Conservative | Conservative | 33.8% | medium |
| Shirley South | Conservative | Conservative | 35.6% | medium |
| South Croydon | Conservative | Conservative | 40.4% | medium |
| South Norwood | Labour | Green Party | 31.2% | medium |
| Thornton Heath | Labour | Labour | 26.2% | medium |
| Waddon | Labour | Labour | 29.8% | medium |
| West Thornton | Labour | Labour | 35.2% | medium |
| Woodside | Labour | Labour | 31.4% | medium |