Location map of Croydon on the UK map

Council · London borough

Croydon

No overall control. Labour largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Labour largest party

Council size: 70 seats · 70 up on May 7

Reform UK

2 of 70 seats

Won 2 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
30
Conservative
28
Green Party
8
Lib Dem
2
Reform UK
2

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Croydon

83% 24 / 29 winners called correctly across this council's wards
5.12pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+3.78pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
23
Conservative
22
Reform UK
14
Green Party
8
Lib Dem
2
Independent
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Addiscombe East Labour Labour 33.6% medium
Addiscombe West Labour Labour 36.7% medium
Bensham Manor Labour Labour 31.7% medium
Broad Green Labour Labour 39.4% medium
Coulsdon Town Conservative Conservative 31.9% medium
Crystal Palace & Upper Norwood Labour Green Party 26.9% medium
Fairfield Green Party Green Party 33.5% medium
Kenley Conservative Conservative 46.4% medium
London Borough of Croydon Labour Conservative 32.0% low
New Addington North Labour Labour 34.8% medium
New Addington South Conservative Reform UK 42.8% medium
Norbury & Pollards Hill Labour Labour 34.4% medium
Norbury Park Labour Labour 37.0% medium
Old Coulsdon Conservative Conservative 37.4% medium
Park Hill & Whitgift Conservative Conservative 35.8% medium
Purley & Woodcote Conservative Conservative 35.6% medium
Purley Oaks & Riddlesdown Conservative Conservative 44.3% medium
Sanderstead Conservative Conservative 45.9% medium
Selhurst Labour Labour 40.4% medium
Selsdon & Addington Village Conservative Conservative 44.9% medium
Selsdon Vale & Forestdale Conservative Conservative 46.0% medium
Shirley North Conservative Conservative 38.4% medium
Shirley South Conservative Conservative 39.9% medium
South Croydon Conservative Conservative 44.3% medium
South Norwood Labour Green Party 37.0% medium
Thornton Heath Labour Labour 32.3% medium
Waddon Labour Labour 35.1% medium
West Thornton Labour Labour 41.4% medium
Woodside Labour Labour 37.1% medium

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