After May 7
No overall control. Conservative largest party
Council size: 72 seats · 25 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
No overall control. Conservative largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
No overall control. Conservative largest party
Council size: 72 seats · 25 up on May 7
Reform UK
22 of 72 seats
Won 22 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amblecote | Conservative | Reform UK | 34.6% | high |
| Belle Vale | Conservative | Reform UK | 38.1% | high |
| Brierley Hill & Wordsley South | Reform UK | Reform UK | 28.6% | medium |
| Brockmoor & Pensnett | Reform UK | Reform UK | 38.3% | medium |
| Castle & Priory | Reform UK | Reform UK | 29.3% | medium |
| Coseley | Labour | Reform UK | 36.1% | medium |
| Cradley North & Wollescote | Lib Dem | Reform UK | 35.4% | medium |
| Gornal | Conservative | Reform UK | 38.3% | high |
| Halesowen North | Conservative | Conservative | 30.2% | high |
| Halesowen South | Conservative | Reform UK | 33.6% | high |
| Hayley Green & Cradley South | Conservative | Reform UK | 38.6% | medium |
| Kingswinford North & Wall Heath | Conservative | Conservative | 42.2% | medium |
| Kingswinford South | Conservative | Reform UK | 34.9% | high |
| Lye & Stourbridge North | Reform UK | Reform UK | 29.3% | medium |
| Netherton & Holly Hall | Labour | Reform UK | 32.2% | medium |
| Norton | Conservative | Reform UK | 31.4% | high |
| Pedmore & Stourbridge East | Reform UK | Reform UK | 28.6% | medium |
| Quarry Bank & Dudley Wood | Labour | Reform UK | 30.1% | medium |
| Sedgley | Conservative | Reform UK | 31.7% | high |
| St. James's | Labour | Reform UK | 33.7% | high |
| St. Thomas's | Reform UK | Labour | 29.1% | high |
| Upper Gornal & Woodsetton | Labour | Reform UK | 39.2% | medium |
| Wollaston & Stourbridge Town | Labour | Reform UK | 29.7% | medium |
| Wordsley North | Conservative | Reform UK | 31.2% | medium |