Location map of Dudley on the UK map

Council · Metropolitan borough

Dudley

No overall control. Conservative largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Conservative largest party

Council size: 72 seats · 25 up on May 7

Reform UK

22 of 72 seats

Won 22 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2027

By thirds, three years in four.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Conservative
25
Reform UK
22
Labour
17
Independent / Other
5
Lib Dem
3

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Dudley

54% 13 / 24 winners called correctly across this council's wards
7.03pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-12.03pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Conservative
11
Reform UK
7
Labour
6
Lib Dem
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Amblecote Conservative Reform UK 34.6% high
Belle Vale Conservative Reform UK 38.1% high
Brierley Hill & Wordsley South Reform UK Reform UK 28.6% medium
Brockmoor & Pensnett Reform UK Reform UK 38.3% medium
Castle & Priory Reform UK Reform UK 29.3% medium
Coseley Labour Reform UK 36.1% medium
Cradley North & Wollescote Lib Dem Reform UK 35.4% medium
Gornal Conservative Reform UK 38.3% high
Halesowen North Conservative Conservative 30.2% high
Halesowen South Conservative Reform UK 33.6% high
Hayley Green & Cradley South Conservative Reform UK 38.6% medium
Kingswinford North & Wall Heath Conservative Conservative 42.2% medium
Kingswinford South Conservative Reform UK 34.9% high
Lye & Stourbridge North Reform UK Reform UK 29.3% medium
Netherton & Holly Hall Labour Reform UK 32.2% medium
Norton Conservative Reform UK 31.4% high
Pedmore & Stourbridge East Reform UK Reform UK 28.6% medium
Quarry Bank & Dudley Wood Labour Reform UK 30.1% medium
Sedgley Conservative Reform UK 31.7% high
St. James's Labour Reform UK 33.7% high
St. Thomas's Reform UK Labour 29.1% high
Upper Gornal & Woodsetton Labour Reform UK 39.2% medium
Wollaston & Stourbridge Town Labour Reform UK 29.7% medium
Wordsley North Conservative Reform UK 31.2% medium

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