Location map of Ealing on the UK map

Council · London borough

Ealing

Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Labour majority

Council size: 70 seats · 70 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 70 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
46
Lib Dem
13
Conservative
5
Green Party
5
Independent / Other
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Ealing

83% 20 / 24 winners called correctly across this council's wards
5.71pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+5.61pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
21
Labour
21
Green Party
15
Conservative
9
Lib Dem
4

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Central Greenford Reform UK Labour 28.7% medium
Dormers Wells Labour Labour 27.2% medium
Ealing Broadway Conservative Conservative 28.5% medium
Ealing Common Reform UK Lib Dem 29.0% medium
East Acton Labour Labour 34.0% medium
Greenford Broadway Labour Labour 41.2% medium
Hanger Hill Lib Dem Lib Dem 52.8% medium
Hanwell Broadway Reform UK Green Party 27.7% medium
Lady Margaret Labour Labour 34.8% medium
North Acton Reform UK Labour 24.0% medium
North Greenford Labour Conservative 33.2% medium
North Hanwell Labour Labour 30.3% medium
Northfield Reform UK Labour 27.9% medium
Northolt Mandeville Labour Labour 35.6% medium
Northolt West End Labour Labour 34.7% medium
Norwood Green Labour Labour 30.4% medium
Perivale Labour Labour 31.9% medium
Pitshanger Labour Labour 27.0% medium
South Acton Labour Labour 30.0% medium
Southall Broadway Labour Labour 33.6% medium
Southall Green Labour Labour 37.0% medium
Southall West Labour Labour 28.8% medium
Southfield Lib Dem Lib Dem 33.0% medium
Walpole Reform UK Lib Dem 26.5% medium

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