Location map of Ealing on the UK map

Council · London borough

Ealing

Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Labour majority

Council size: 70 seats · 70 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 70 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
46
Lib Dem
13
Conservative
5
Green Party
5
Independent / Other
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Ealing

83% 20 / 24 winners called correctly across this council's wards
5.71pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+5.61pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
24
Reform UK
18
Conservative
18
Green Party
7
Lib Dem
3

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Central Greenford Labour Labour 31.5% medium
Dormers Wells Labour Labour 33.4% medium
Ealing Broadway Conservative Conservative 32.6% medium
Ealing Common Labour Lib Dem 24.0% medium
East Acton Labour Labour 40.4% medium
Greenford Broadway Labour Labour 46.8% medium
Hanger Hill Lib Dem Lib Dem 47.8% medium
Hanwell Broadway Labour Green Party 33.3% medium
Lady Margaret Labour Labour 41.4% medium
North Acton Labour Labour 28.2% medium
North Greenford Labour Conservative 39.6% medium
North Hanwell Labour Labour 36.0% medium
Northfield Labour Labour 26.4% medium
Northolt Mandeville Labour Labour 40.9% medium
Northolt West End Labour Labour 41.6% medium
Norwood Green Labour Labour 37.5% medium
Perivale Labour Labour 37.7% medium
Pitshanger Labour Labour 32.0% medium
South Acton Labour Labour 35.6% medium
Southall Broadway Labour Labour 39.2% medium
Southall Green Labour Labour 43.9% medium
Southall West Labour Labour 34.3% medium
Southfield Lib Dem Lib Dem 32.4% medium
Walpole Labour Lib Dem 31.5% medium

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