After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 70 seats · 70 up on May 7
Council · London borough
Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 70 seats · 70 up on May 7
Reform UK
0 of 70 seats
Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Greenford | Reform UK | Labour | 28.7% | medium |
| Dormers Wells | Labour | Labour | 27.2% | medium |
| Ealing Broadway | Conservative | Conservative | 28.5% | medium |
| Ealing Common | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 29.0% | medium |
| East Acton | Labour | Labour | 34.0% | medium |
| Greenford Broadway | Labour | Labour | 41.2% | medium |
| Hanger Hill | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 52.8% | medium |
| Hanwell Broadway | Reform UK | Green Party | 27.7% | medium |
| Lady Margaret | Labour | Labour | 34.8% | medium |
| North Acton | Reform UK | Labour | 24.0% | medium |
| North Greenford | Labour | Conservative | 33.2% | medium |
| North Hanwell | Labour | Labour | 30.3% | medium |
| Northfield | Reform UK | Labour | 27.9% | medium |
| Northolt Mandeville | Labour | Labour | 35.6% | medium |
| Northolt West End | Labour | Labour | 34.7% | medium |
| Norwood Green | Labour | Labour | 30.4% | medium |
| Perivale | Labour | Labour | 31.9% | medium |
| Pitshanger | Labour | Labour | 27.0% | medium |
| South Acton | Labour | Labour | 30.0% | medium |
| Southall Broadway | Labour | Labour | 33.6% | medium |
| Southall Green | Labour | Labour | 37.0% | medium |
| Southall West | Labour | Labour | 28.8% | medium |
| Southfield | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 33.0% | medium |
| Walpole | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 26.5% | medium |