Council · District council

Eastleigh

Liberal Democrats majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

← All councils Find a ward

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Liberal Democrats majority

Council size: 39 seats · 15 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 39 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Lib Dem

Independent / Other

Conservative

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when Eastleigh next votes

Eastleigh sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Eastleigh

71% 10 / 14 winners called correctly across this council's wards

5.25pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share

+8.81pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Lib Dem

Reform UK

Independent

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward	Our top pick	Actual winner	Predicted share	Confidence
Bishopstoke	Independent	Independent	38.6%	high
Botley	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	41.0%	high
Bursledon & Hound North	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	47.4%	high
Chandler's Ford	Reform UK	Lib Dem	34.4%	high
Eastleigh Central	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	43.9%	high
Eastleigh North	Reform UK	Lib Dem	34.7%	high
Eastleigh South	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	37.1%	high
Fair Oak & Horton Heath	Reform UK	Lib Dem	34.0%	high
Hamble & Netley	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	38.7%	high
Hedge End North	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	38.6%	high
Hedge End South	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	39.0%	high
Hiltingbury	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	34.9%	high
West End North	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	38.0%	high
West End South	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	33.9%	high

← All councils