Location map of Enfield on the UK map

Council · London borough

Enfield

No overall control. Conservative largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Conservative largest party

Council size: 63 seats · 63 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 63 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Conservative
31
Labour
27
Green Party
5

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Enfield

80% 20 / 25 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.44pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+8.30pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
25
Conservative
20
Reform UK
13
Green Party
4
Independent
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Arnos Grove Conservative Conservative 36.1% medium
Bowes Labour Labour 29.3% medium
Brimsdown Labour Labour 40.4% medium
Bullsmoor Labour Labour 40.6% medium
Bush Hill Park Conservative Conservative 36.8% medium
Carterhatch Labour Labour 38.3% medium
Cockfosters Conservative Conservative 44.0% medium
Edmonton Green Labour Labour 38.3% medium
Enfield Lock Labour Green Party 36.3% medium
Grange Park Conservative Conservative 42.1% medium
Haselbury Labour Labour 38.7% medium
Highfield Labour Conservative 29.4% medium
Jubilee Conservative Labour 31.8% medium
Lower Edmonton Labour Labour 41.5% medium
New Southgate Labour Green Party 31.4% medium
Oakwood Conservative Conservative 39.4% medium
Palmers Green Labour Labour 38.5% medium
Ponders End Labour Labour 36.6% medium
Ridgeway Conservative Conservative 38.9% medium
Southbury Labour Conservative 34.7% medium
Southgate Conservative Conservative 31.1% medium
Town Conservative Conservative 34.4% medium
Upper Edmonton Labour Labour 40.2% medium
Whitewebbs Conservative Conservative 25.7% medium
Winchmore Hill Conservative Conservative 40.2% medium

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