After May 7
No overall control. Conservative largest party
Council size: 63 seats · 63 up on May 7
Council · London borough
Enfield
No overall control. Conservative largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
0 of 63 seats
Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Enfield
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnos Grove | Conservative | Conservative | 32.2% | medium |
| Bowes | Labour | Labour | 24.4% | medium |
| Brimsdown | Labour | Labour | 34.1% | medium |
| Bullsmoor | Labour | Labour | 34.5% | medium |
| Bush Hill Park | Conservative | Conservative | 32.4% | medium |
| Carterhatch | Labour | Labour | 31.8% | medium |
| Cockfosters | Conservative | Conservative | 39.6% | medium |
| Edmonton Green | Labour | Labour | 32.6% | medium |
| Enfield Lock | Labour | Green Party | 30.6% | medium |
| Grange Park | Conservative | Conservative | 37.6% | medium |
| Haselbury | Labour | Labour | 32.6% | medium |
| Highfield | Labour | Conservative | 24.5% | medium |
| Jubilee | Conservative | Labour | 29.0% | medium |
| Lower Edmonton | Labour | Labour | 34.8% | medium |
| New Southgate | Labour | Green Party | 26.1% | medium |
| Oakwood | Conservative | Conservative | 35.3% | medium |
| Palmers Green | Labour | Labour | 32.9% | medium |
| Ponders End | Labour | Labour | 30.5% | medium |
| Ridgeway | Conservative | Conservative | 34.2% | medium |
| Southbury | Labour | Conservative | 29.4% | medium |
| Southgate | Conservative | Conservative | 27.5% | medium |
| Town | Conservative | Conservative | 30.3% | medium |
| Upper Edmonton | Labour | Labour | 32.8% | medium |
| Whitewebbs | Reform UK | Conservative | 31.2% | medium |
| Winchmore Hill | Conservative | Conservative | 36.1% | medium |