Location map of Epping Forest on the UK map

Council · District council

Epping Forest

No overall control. Conservative largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Conservative)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Conservative largest party

Council size: 54 seats · 18 up on May 7

Reform UK

12 of 54 seats

Won 11 on May 7 · had 1 before

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Conservative
23
Independent / Other
14
Reform UK
12
Lib Dem
5
Labour
1
Green Party
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when Epping Forest next votes

Epping Forest sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Epping Forest

56% 10 / 18 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.70pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-6.70pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Conservative
8
Reform UK
6
Independent
3
Green Party
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Buckhurst Hill East & Whitebridge Green Party Reform UK 42.5% medium
Buckhurst Hill West Reform UK Conservative 32.2% high
Chigwell with Lambourne Conservative Conservative 47.1% medium
Epping East Reform UK Reform UK 32.9% medium
Epping West & Rural Conservative Conservative 36.3% medium
Grange Hill Reform UK Conservative 33.0% high
Loughton Fairmead Independent Reform UK 40.1% high
Loughton Forest Reform UK Independent 32.6% high
Loughton Roding Independent Independent 40.0% high
Loughton St John's Independent Independent 39.1% high
North Weald Bassett Conservative Reform UK 37.1% high
Ongar Conservative Reform UK 37.1% medium
Roydon & Lower Nazeing Conservative Reform UK 46.4% medium
Rural East Conservative Reform UK 34.6% medium
Theydon Bois with Passingford Reform UK Reform UK 33.0% medium
Waltham Abbey North Reform UK Reform UK 34.1% medium
Waltham Abbey South & Rural Conservative Reform UK 41.2% medium
Waltham Abbey West Conservative Reform UK 36.4% medium

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