Location map of Greenwich on the UK map

Council · London borough

Greenwich

Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Labour majority

Council size: 55 seats · 55 up on May 7

Reform UK

1 of 55 seats

Won 1 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
34
Green Party
14
Conservative
6
Reform UK
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Greenwich

74% 17 / 23 winners called correctly across this council's wards
5.01pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+2.37pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
22
Green Party
14
Reform UK
13
Conservative
4
Lib Dem
2

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Abbey Wood Labour Labour 29.7% medium
Blackheath Westcombe Reform UK Labour 25.8% medium
Charlton Hornfair Labour Green Party 33.0% medium
Charlton Village & Riverside Labour Labour 34.9% medium
East Greenwich Labour Green Party 30.2% medium
Eltham Page Labour Reform UK 29.6% medium
Eltham Park & Progress Labour Labour 29.8% medium
Eltham Town & Avery Hill Conservative Conservative 35.4% medium
Greenwich Creekside Labour Labour 37.7% medium
Greenwich Park Labour Green Party 30.7% medium
Greenwich Peninsula Labour Green Party 32.5% medium
Kidbrooke Park Labour Labour 29.9% medium
Kidbrooke Village & Sutcliffe Labour Labour 30.4% medium
Middle Park & Horn Park Labour Labour 38.8% medium
Mottingham, Coldharbour & New Eltham Conservative Conservative 36.5% medium
Plumstead & Glyndon Labour Labour 36.2% medium
Plumstead Common Labour Green Party 30.2% medium
Shooters Hill Green Party Green Party 41.8% medium
Thamesmead Moorings Labour Labour 40.4% medium
West Thamesmead Lib Dem Labour 30.1% medium
Woolwich Arsenal Labour Labour 36.9% medium
Woolwich Common Labour Labour 43.2% medium
Woolwich Dockyard Labour Labour 39.3% medium

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