After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 54 seats · 19 up on May 7
Council · Unitary authority
Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 54 seats · 19 up on May 7
Reform UK
16 of 54 seats
Won 16 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appleton | Labour | Reform UK | 46.4% | high |
| Bankfield | Labour | Reform UK | 45.1% | high |
| Beechwood & Heath | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 51.4% | high |
| Birchfield | Reform UK | Reform UK | 42.4% | high |
| Bridgewater | Reform UK | Reform UK | 42.2% | high |
| Central & West Bank | Reform UK | Reform UK | 42.4% | high |
| Daresbury, Moore & Sandymoor | Reform UK | Reform UK | 41.2% | high |
| Ditton, Hale Village & Halebank | Labour | Reform UK | 44.5% | high |
| Farnworth | Reform UK | Labour | 42.5% | high |
| Grange | Labour | Reform UK | 44.4% | high |
| Halton Castle | Reform UK | Reform UK | 42.0% | high |
| Halton Lea | Reform UK | Reform UK | 42.5% | high |
| Halton View | Reform UK | Reform UK | 42.0% | high |
| Highfield | Labour | Labour | 47.4% | high |
| Hough Green | Reform UK | Reform UK | 42.5% | high |
| Mersey & Weston | Reform UK | Reform UK | 42.0% | high |
| Norton North | Reform UK | Reform UK | 41.8% | high |
| Norton South & Preston Brook | Labour | Reform UK | 42.8% | high |