After May 7
No overall control. Conservative largest party
Council size: 78 seats · 78 up on May 7
Council · County council
Hampshire
No overall control. Conservative largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Conservative)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
20 of 78 seats
Won 20 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)
Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
Local Government Reorganisation
Why we don't yet know when Hampshire next votes
Hampshire sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.
We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Hampshire
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldershot North | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | medium |
| Aldershot South | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.4% | medium |
| Alton Rural | Conservative | Conservative | 41.6% | medium |
| Alton Town | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.5% | medium |
| Andover North | Conservative | Conservative | 45.3% | medium |
| Andover South | Conservative | Conservative | 39.5% | medium |
| Andover West | Conservative | Conservative | 44.0% | medium |
| Baddesley | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 41.1% | medium |
| Basingstoke Central | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.7% | medium |
| Basingstoke North | Reform UK | Labour | 35.9% | medium |
| Basingstoke North West | Conservative | Reform UK | 36.8% | medium |
| Basingstoke South East | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 35.2% | medium |
| Basingstoke South West | Conservative | Conservative | 44.6% | medium |
| Bishops Waltham | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | medium |
| Bishopstoke & Fair Oak | Reform UK | Independent | 34.2% | medium |
| Botley & Hedge End North | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 35.9% | medium |
| Bridgemary | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.4% | medium |
| Brockenhurst | Conservative | Conservative | 38.2% | medium |
| Calleva | Conservative | Conservative | 48.6% | medium |
| Candovers, Oakley & Overton | Conservative | Conservative | 41.2% | medium |
| Catherington | Conservative | Conservative | 39.9% | medium |
| Chandler's Ford | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | medium |
| Church Crookham & Ewshot | Reform UK | Community Campaign (Hart) | 33.9% | medium |
| Cowplain & Hart Plain | Conservative | Reform UK | 52.7% | medium |
| Dibden & Hythe | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | medium |
| Eastleigh North | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 35.0% | medium |
| Eastleigh South | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.9% | medium |
| Emsworth & St Faiths | Conservative | Green Party | 35.5% | medium |
| Fareham Crofton | Conservative | Conservative | 41.9% | medium |
| Fareham Portchester | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.7% | medium |
| Fareham Sarisbury | Reform UK | Conservative | 34.6% | medium |
| Fareham Titchfield | Conservative | Conservative | 46.0% | medium |
| Fareham Town | Conservative | Reform UK | 36.8% | medium |
| Fareham Warsash | Conservative | Conservative | 49.2% | medium |
| Farnborough North | Conservative | Reform UK | 37.2% | medium |
| Farnborough South | Reform UK | Conservative | 34.7% | medium |
| Farnborough West | Conservative | Reform UK | 42.6% | medium |
| Fleet Town | Conservative | Conservative | 45.5% | medium |
| Hamble | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 38.5% | medium |
| Hardway | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.6% | medium |
| Hartley Wintney & Yateley West | Conservative | Lib Dem | 36.0% | medium |
| Hayling Island | Conservative | Reform UK | 48.2% | medium |
| Hedge End & West End South | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | medium |
| Itchen Valley | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 36.8% | medium |
| Lee | Conservative | Conservative | 46.3% | medium |
| Leesland & Town | Conservative | Conservative | 35.8% | medium |
| Liphook, Headley & Grayshott | Conservative | Conservative | 40.2% | medium |
| Loddon | Conservative | Reform UK | 44.0% | medium |
| Lymington & Boldre | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 33.9% | medium |
| Lyndhurst & Fordingbridge | Conservative | Lib Dem | 35.6% | medium |
| Meon Valley | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 33.0% | medium |
| New Milton | Conservative | Reform UK | 43.8% | medium |
| New Milton North, Milford & Hordle | Conservative | Conservative | 47.8% | medium |
| North East Havant | Conservative | Reform UK | 42.4% | medium |
| North West Havant | Conservative | Reform UK | 35.8% | medium |
| Odiham & Hook | Conservative | Conservative | 43.2% | medium |
| Petersfield Butser | Conservative | Lib Dem | 34.4% | medium |
| Petersfield Hangers | Conservative | Conservative | 35.4% | medium |
| Purbrook & Stakes South | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.0% | medium |
| Ringwood | Conservative | Reform UK | 37.1% | medium |
| Romsey Rural | Conservative | Conservative | 46.9% | medium |
| Romsey Town | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.5% | medium |
| South Waterside | Conservative | Reform UK | 39.4% | medium |
| Tadley & Baughurst | Conservative | Lib Dem | 36.6% | medium |
| Test Valley Central | Conservative | Conservative | 42.8% | medium |
| Totton North & Netley Marsh | Conservative | Conservative | 42.0% | medium |
| Totton South & Marchwood | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | medium |
| Waterloo & Stakes North | Conservative | Reform UK | 48.3% | medium |
| West End & Horton Heath | Conservative | Conservative | 34.6% | medium |
| Whitchurch & The Cleres | Conservative | Conservative | 47.7% | medium |
| Whitehill, Bordon & Lindford | Whitehill & Bordon Community Party | Whitehill & Bordon Community Party | 35.1% | medium |
| Winchester Downlands | Conservative | Lib Dem | 37.0% | medium |
| Winchester Eastgate | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 33.8% | medium |
| Winchester Southern Parishes | Conservative | Lib Dem | 38.7% | medium |
| Winchester Westgate | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 36.8% | medium |
| Yateley East & Blackwater | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 44.5% | medium |