After May 7
Conservative majority
Council size: 55 seats · 55 up on May 7
Council · London borough
Harrow
Conservative majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
0 of 55 seats
Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Harrow
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont | Conservative | Conservative | 46.4% | medium |
| Canons | Conservative | Conservative | 50.9% | medium |
| Centenary | Conservative | Conservative | 42.1% | medium |
| Edgware | Conservative | Conservative | 40.0% | medium |
| Greenhill | Labour | Conservative | 37.8% | medium |
| Harrow on the Hill | Labour | Conservative | 37.7% | medium |
| Harrow Weald | Conservative | Conservative | 34.5% | medium |
| Hatch End | Conservative | Conservative | 48.1% | medium |
| Headstone | Labour | Conservative | 38.7% | medium |
| Kenton East | Conservative | Conservative | 46.4% | medium |
| Kenton West | Conservative | Conservative | 44.7% | medium |
| Marlborough | Labour | Labour | 39.4% | medium |
| North Harrow | Conservative | Conservative | 32.5% | medium |
| Pinner | Conservative | Conservative | 37.8% | medium |
| Pinner South | Conservative | Conservative | 32.5% | medium |
| Rayners Lane | Labour | Conservative | 39.6% | medium |
| Roxbourne | Labour | Labour | 45.8% | medium |
| Roxeth | Labour | Labour | 41.0% | medium |
| Stanmore | Conservative | Conservative | 44.6% | medium |
| Wealdstone North | Labour | Labour | 44.3% | medium |
| Wealdstone South | Labour | Labour | 36.9% | medium |
| West Harrow | Labour | Labour | 35.5% | medium |