Location map of Hart on the UK map

Council · District council

Hart

No overall control. Liberal Democrats largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Liberal Democrats largest party

Council size: 33 seats · 11 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 33 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Lib Dem
13
Independent / Other
12
Conservative
8

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when Hart next votes

Hart sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Hart

55% 6 / 11 winners called correctly across this council's wards
7.01pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+11.50pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
4
Lib Dem
3
Community Campaign (Hart)
2
Conservative
2

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Blackwater and Hawley Lib Dem Lib Dem 39.8% high
Crookham East Community Campaign (Hart) Community Campaign (Hart) 41.9% high
Crookham West and Ewshot Community Campaign (Hart) Community Campaign (Hart) 41.3% high
Fleet Central Reform UK Community Campaign (Hart) 34.4% high
Fleet East Reform UK Lib Dem 34.3% high
Fleet West Reform UK Community Campaign (Hart) 33.6% high
Hartley Wintney Conservative Conservative 35.9% high
Hook Reform UK Lib Dem 34.5% high
Odiham Conservative Conservative 41.1% high
Yateley East Lib Dem Lib Dem 45.4% high
Yateley West Lib Dem Lib Dem 50.6% high

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