After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 51 seats · 51 up on May 7
Council · London borough
Islington
Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
0 of 51 seats
Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Islington
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Labour | Green Party | 36.3% | medium |
| Barnsbury | Labour | Labour | 32.2% | medium |
| Bunhill | Labour | Labour | 33.9% | medium |
| Caledonian | Labour | Labour | 40.6% | medium |
| Canonbury | Labour | Labour | 34.5% | medium |
| Clerkenwell | Labour | Green Party | 37.7% | medium |
| Finsbury Park | Labour | Green Party | 37.0% | medium |
| Highbury | Green Party | Green Party | 36.7% | medium |
| Hillrise | Labour | Labour | 38.5% | medium |
| Holloway | Labour | Labour | 40.5% | medium |
| Junction | Labour | Labour | 31.8% | medium |
| Laycock | Labour | Labour | 41.3% | medium |
| Mildmay | Labour | Green Party | 42.1% | medium |
| St Mary's & St James' | Labour | Labour | 33.2% | medium |
| St Peter's & Canalside | Labour | Labour | 38.2% | medium |
| Tollington | Labour | Green Party | 40.4% | medium |
| Tufnell Park | Green Party | Green Party | 34.5% | medium |