Kensington and Chelsea. May 7 2026 result and what's next

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Conservative majority

Council size: 50 seats · 50 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 50 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Conservative

34

Labour

11

Lib Dem

3

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

100% 17 / 17 winners called correctly across this council's wards

10.86pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share

+11.07pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

Conservative

15

Reform UK

15

Labour

11

Lib Dem

8

Green Party

1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Ward	Our top pick	Actual winner	Predicted share	Confidence
Abingdon	Conservative	Conservative	34.8%	high
Brompton & Hans Town	Conservative	Conservative	40.7%	high
Campden	Conservative	Conservative	38.4%	high
Chelsea Riverside	Reform UK	Conservative	27.9%	high
Colville	Reform UK	Labour	33.8%	high
Courtfield	Conservative	Conservative	35.4%	high
Dalgarno	Labour	Labour	29.3%	high
Earl's Court	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	32.4%	high
Golborne	Labour	Labour	31.7%	high
Holland	Conservative	Conservative	34.0%	high
Norland	Conservative	Conservative	36.3%	high
Notting Dale	Reform UK	Labour	34.2%	high
Pembridge	Conservative	Conservative	29.9%	high
Queen's Gate	Conservative	Conservative	29.3%	high
Redcliffe	Conservative	Conservative	34.4%	high
Royal Hospital	Conservative	Conservative	39.9%	high
St Helen's	Labour	Not yet declared	28.5%	high
Stanley	Conservative	Conservative	36.6%	high