After May 7
Liberal Democrats majority
Council size: 48 seats · 48 up on May 7
Council · London borough
Kingston upon Thames
Liberal Democrats majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
0 of 48 seats
Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Kingston upon Thames
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 33.0% | medium |
| Berrylands | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 36.3% | medium |
| Canbury Gardens | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 29.3% | medium |
| Chessington South & Malden Rushett | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 33.1% | medium |
| Coombe Hill | Conservative | Conservative | 33.8% | medium |
| Coombe Vale | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 27.4% | medium |
| Green Lane & St James | Independent | Kingston Independent Residents Group | 39.5% | medium |
| Hook & Chessington North | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 38.7% | medium |
| King George's & Sunray | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 49.7% | medium |
| Kingston Gate | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 28.4% | medium |
| Kingston Town | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 30.8% | medium |
| Motspur Park & Old Malden East | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 28.8% | medium |
| New Malden Village | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 28.0% | medium |
| Norbiton | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 34.2% | medium |
| Old Malden | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 37.6% | medium |
| St Mark's & Seething Wells | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 30.0% | medium |
| Surbiton Hill | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 28.9% | medium |
| Tolworth | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 38.5% | medium |
| Tudor | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 29.2% | medium |