After May 7
Liberal Democrats majority
Council size: 48 seats · 48 up on May 7
Council · London borough
Liberal Democrats majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
Liberal Democrats majority
Council size: 48 seats · 48 up on May 7
Reform UK
0 of 48 seats
Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 31.4% | medium |
| Berrylands | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 34.8% | medium |
| Canbury Gardens | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 27.8% | medium |
| Chessington South & Malden Rushett | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 32.1% | medium |
| Coombe Hill | Conservative | Conservative | 38.3% | medium |
| Coombe Vale | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 26.1% | medium |
| Green Lane & St James | Independent | Kingston Independent Residents Group | 42.2% | medium |
| Hook & Chessington North | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 35.7% | medium |
| King George's & Sunray | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 44.6% | medium |
| Kingston Gate | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 22.5% | medium |
| Kingston Town | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 30.1% | medium |
| Motspur Park & Old Malden East | Conservative | Lib Dem | 29.8% | medium |
| New Malden Village | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 27.0% | medium |
| Norbiton | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 33.2% | medium |
| Old Malden | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 35.8% | medium |
| St Mark's & Seething Wells | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 29.5% | medium |
| Surbiton Hill | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 26.2% | medium |
| Tolworth | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 37.7% | medium |
| Tudor | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 27.5% | medium |