Location map of Kingston upon Thames on the UK map

Council · London borough

Kingston upon Thames

Liberal Democrats majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Liberal Democrats majority

Council size: 48 seats · 48 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 48 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years (London cycle).

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Lib Dem
44
Conservative
2
Independent / Other
2

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Kingston upon Thames

95% 18 / 19 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.77pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+6.85pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Lib Dem
19
Conservative
12
Reform UK
9
Labour
4
Green Party
3
Independent
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Alexandra Lib Dem Lib Dem 31.4% medium
Berrylands Lib Dem Lib Dem 34.8% medium
Canbury Gardens Lib Dem Lib Dem 27.8% medium
Chessington South & Malden Rushett Lib Dem Lib Dem 32.1% medium
Coombe Hill Conservative Conservative 38.3% medium
Coombe Vale Lib Dem Lib Dem 26.1% medium
Green Lane & St James Independent Kingston Independent Residents Group 42.2% medium
Hook & Chessington North Lib Dem Lib Dem 35.7% medium
King George's & Sunray Lib Dem Lib Dem 44.6% medium
Kingston Gate Reform UK Lib Dem 22.5% medium
Kingston Town Lib Dem Lib Dem 30.1% medium
Motspur Park & Old Malden East Conservative Lib Dem 29.8% medium
New Malden Village Lib Dem Lib Dem 27.0% medium
Norbiton Lib Dem Lib Dem 33.2% medium
Old Malden Lib Dem Lib Dem 35.8% medium
St Mark's & Seething Wells Lib Dem Lib Dem 29.5% medium
Surbiton Hill Lib Dem Lib Dem 26.2% medium
Tolworth Lib Dem Lib Dem 37.7% medium
Tudor Lib Dem Lib Dem 27.5% medium

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