Location map of Knowsley on the UK map

Council · Metropolitan borough

Knowsley

Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Labour majority

Council size: 45 seats · 16 up on May 7

Reform UK

4 of 45 seats

Won 4 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2027

By thirds, three years in four.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
24
Green Party
8
Independent / Other
7
Reform UK
4
Lib Dem
3

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Knowsley

47% 7 / 15 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.12pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+2.42pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
9
Green Party
4
Independent
2
Lib Dem
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Cherryfield Labour Independent 51.5% high
Halewood North Labour Reform UK 45.3% high
Halewood South Independent Independent 41.2% high
Northwood Labour Reform UK 41.3% high
Page Moss Labour Green Party 43.8% high
Prescot North Lib Dem Lib Dem 37.1% high
Prescot South Green Party Green Party 48.5% high
Roby Green Party Labour 36.6% high
Shevington Labour Independent 50.8% high
St Gabriels Green Party Green Party 42.5% high
St Michaels Labour Labour 51.4% high
Stockbridge Labour Reform UK 51.8% high
Swanside Labour Labour 53.7% high
Whiston & Cronton Green Party Reform UK 38.5% high
Whitefield Independent Independent 39.9% high

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