After May 7
No overall control. Labour largest party
Council size: 99 seats · 36 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Leeds
No overall control. Labour largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
8 of 99 seats
Won 8 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Leeds
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adel & Wharfedale | Conservative | Conservative | 34.5% | high |
| Alwoodley | Conservative | Conservative | 41.5% | high |
| Ardsley & Robin Hood | Reform UK | Reform UK | 28.8% | high |
| Armley | Green Party | Green Party | 29.4% | high |
| Beeston & Holbeck | Labour | Green Party | 31.5% | high |
| Bramley & Stanningley | Labour | Labour | 40.6% | high |
| Burmantofts & Richmond Hill | Labour | Labour | 41.5% | high |
| Calverley & Farsley | Conservative | Conservative | 32.6% | high |
| Chapel Allerton | Labour | Green Party | 43.4% | high |
| Cross Gates & Whinmoor | Reform UK | Reform UK | 28.8% | high |
| Farnley & Wortley | Green Party | Reform UK | 35.4% | high |
| Garforth & Swillington | Independent | Garforth and Swillington Independents Party | 38.3% | high |
| Gipton & Harehills | Green Party | Labour | 34.5% | high |
| Guiseley & Rawdon | Reform UK | Labour | 28.8% | high |
| Harewood | Conservative | Conservative | 40.4% | high |
| Headingley & Hyde Park | Labour | Green Party | 32.0% | high |
| Horsforth | Labour | Labour | 37.7% | high |
| Hunslet & Riverside | Green Party | Green Party | 38.4% | high |
| Killingbeck & Seacroft | Labour | Reform UK | 42.5% | high |
| Kippax & Methley | Labour | Labour | 40.2% | high |
| Kirkstall | Labour | Green Party | 39.8% | high |
| Little London & Woodhouse | Labour | Green Party | 41.0% | high |
| Middleton Park | Reform UK | Social Democratic Party | 28.5% | high |
| Moortown | Labour | Labour | 31.2% | high |
| Morley North | Reform UK | Morley Borough Independents | 28.3% | high |
| Morley South | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.1% | high |
| Otley & Yeadon | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 35.5% | high |
| Pudsey | Conservative | Conservative | 39.8% | high |
| Rothwell | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 45.5% | high |
| Roundhay | Labour | Labour | 29.3% | high |
| Temple Newsam | Labour | Reform UK | 30.6% | high |
| Weetwood | Labour | Labour | 31.4% | high |
| Wetherby | Conservative | Conservative | 37.6% | high |