After May 7
No overall control. Liberal Democrats largest party
Council size: 78 seats · 78 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Newcastle upon Tyne
No overall control. Liberal Democrats largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
24 of 78 seats
Won 24 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Newcastle upon Tyne
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur's Hill | Labour | Green Party | 32.9% | high |
| Benwell, Scotswood & Denton Burn | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.9% | low |
| Blakelaw & Cowgate | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.7% | low |
| Byker | Green Party | Green Party | 40.8% | high |
| Castle | Lib Dem | Green Party | 30.3% | high |
| Chapel | Independent | Independent | 47.6% | high |
| Dene & South Gosforth | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 34.1% | high |
| Denton & Westerhope | Independent | Reform UK | 36.6% | high |
| Elswick | Green Party | Green Party | 32.1% | high |
| Fawdon & West Gosforth | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 40.3% | high |
| Gosforth | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 29.5% | high |
| Heaton | Labour | Green Party | 31.1% | high |
| Jesmond | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 36.4% | low |
| Kenton | Labour | Labour | 40.8% | high |
| Kingston Park & Dinnington | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 36.4% | low |
| Lemington | Labour | Reform UK | 39.2% | high |
| Manor Park | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 42.7% | high |
| Monument | Labour | Green Party | 35.3% | high |
| Newbiggin Hall & Callerton | Reform UK | Reform UK | 36.4% | low |
| Ouseburn | Reform UK | Green Party | 27.9% | high |
| Parklands & North Gosforth | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 36.4% | low |
| Throckley, Walbottle & Newburn | Reform UK | Reform UK | 36.4% | low |
| Walker | Labour | Reform UK | 41.2% | high |
| Walkergate | Labour | Reform UK | 34.7% | high |
| West Fenham | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 35.8% | high |
| Wingrove | Labour | Green Party | 37.8% | high |