Council · Welsh principal area

Newport

Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Labour majority

Council size: 51 seats · 1 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 51 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2027

Whole council every 5 years.

Post-May 7 composition

Labour

Independent / Other

Conservative

Lib Dem

Green Party

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

100% 1 / 1 winners called correctly across this council's wards

6.18pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share

+10.49pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

Conservative

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Ward	Our top pick	Actual winner	Predicted share	Confidence
Rogerstone North	Conservative	Conservative	34.9%	medium