After May 7
No overall control. Reform UK largest party
Council size: 84 seats · 84 up on May 7
Council · County council
Norfolk
No overall control. Reform UK largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Conservative)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
40 of 84 seats
Won 40 on May 7 · had 2 before · largest party
Next election
TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)
Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
Local Government Reorganisation
Why we don't yet know when Norfolk next votes
Norfolk sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.
We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Norfolk
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acle | Conservative | Reform UK | 40.6% | medium |
| Attleborough | Conservative | Reform UK | 51.1% | medium |
| Aylsham | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.4% | medium |
| Blofield & Brundall | Reform UK | Green Party | 34.2% | low |
| Bowthorpe | Labour | Green Party | 39.2% | medium |
| Breydon | Conservative | Great Yarmouth First | 46.0% | medium |
| Catton Grove | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.7% | medium |
| Clenchwarton & King's Lynn South | Reform UK | Independent | 34.2% | low |
| Coltishall & Spixworth | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | low |
| Costessey | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.7% | medium |
| Crome | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.5% | medium |
| Cromer | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 36.3% | medium |
| Dereham North & Scarning | Reform UK | Conservative | 34.2% | low |
| Dereham South | Conservative | Reform UK | 37.1% | medium |
| Dersingham | Conservative | Reform UK | 49.2% | medium |
| Diss & Roydon | Reform UK | Green Party | 34.2% | low |
| Docking | Conservative | Reform UK | 39.8% | medium |
| Downham Market | Conservative | Reform UK | 37.2% | medium |
| Drayton & Horsford | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.2% | low |
| East Depwade | Conservative | Reform UK | 40.7% | medium |
| Eaton | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 35.0% | medium |
| Elmham & Mattishall | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.2% | low |
| Erpingham | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | low |
| Fakenham & The Raynhams | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.2% | low |
| Feltwell | Conservative | Reform UK | 57.4% | medium |
| Forehoe | Conservative | Conservative | 35.7% | medium |
| Freebridge Lynn | Independent | Reform UK | 36.5% | medium |
| Gaywood North & Central | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | low |
| Gaywood South | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.4% | medium |
| Gorleston | Reform UK | Great Yarmouth First | 37.0% | low |
| Guiltcross | Conservative | Reform UK | 46.1% | medium |
| Hellesdon | Conservative | Reform UK | 41.9% | medium |
| Henstead | Conservative | Lib Dem | 36.1% | medium |
| Hethersett | Reform UK | Labour | 34.2% | low |
| Hingham | Conservative | Reform UK | 42.0% | medium |
| Holt | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | medium |
| Hoveton | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | low |
| King's Lynn North & Central | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.2% | low |
| Lakenham | Reform UK | Green Party | 35.3% | medium |
| Launditch | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.2% | low |
| Loddon | Conservative | Conservative | 39.2% | medium |
| Long Stratton | Conservative | Reform UK | 42.9% | medium |
| Lothingland | Conservative | Great Yarmouth First | 48.6% | medium |
| Magdalen | Reform UK | Great Yarmouth First | 34.5% | medium |
| Mancroft | Green Party | Green Party | 45.0% | medium |
| Marshland North | Reform UK | Reform UK | 61.1% | medium |
| Marshland South | Conservative | Reform UK | 59.8% | medium |
| Mile Cross | Reform UK | Green Party | 34.9% | medium |
| Nar & Wissey Valleys | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.2% | low |
| Nelson | Green Party | Green Party | 37.7% | medium |
| North Caister & Ormesby | Reform UK | Great Yarmouth First | 34.2% | low |
| North Coast | Conservative | Reform UK | 44.4% | medium |
| North Walsham East | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.5% | medium |
| North Walsham West & Mundesley | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.2% | low |
| Old Catton | Conservative | Reform UK | 39.1% | medium |
| Reepham | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.0% | medium |
| Sewell | Reform UK | Green Party | 34.5% | medium |
| Sheringham | Conservative | Lib Dem | 34.4% | medium |
| South Caister & Bure | Reform UK | Great Yarmouth First | 37.0% | low |
| Sprowston | Conservative | Reform UK | 40.7% | medium |
| Stalham | Reform UK | Conservative | 34.2% | low |
| Swaffham | Conservative | Reform UK | 35.9% | medium |
| Taverham | Conservative | Conservative | 41.6% | medium |
| The Brecks | Conservative | Reform UK | 50.4% | medium |
| The Fleggs | Reform UK | Great Yarmouth First | 34.2% | low |
| Thetford East | Conservative | Reform UK | 41.5% | medium |
| Thetford West | Reform UK | Reform UK | 54.0% | medium |
| Thorpe Hamlet | Reform UK | Green Party | 34.0% | medium |
| Thorpe St Andrew | Conservative | Conservative | 36.4% | medium |
| Town Close | Reform UK | Green Party | 34.8% | medium |
| University | Reform UK | Green Party | 34.8% | medium |
| Watlington & The Fens | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.0% | low |
| Watton | Conservative | Reform UK | 47.3% | medium |
| Waveney Valley | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.2% | low |
| Wells | Conservative | Conservative | 34.6% | medium |
| Wensum | Reform UK | Green Party | 34.8% | medium |
| West Depwade | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.0% | medium |
| Woodside | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.2% | medium |
| Wroxham | Conservative | Reform UK | 45.4% | medium |
| Wymondham | Conservative | Conservative | 35.9% | medium |
| Yare & Necton | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.2% | low |
| Yare Valley | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.2% | low |
| Yarmouth Nelson & Southtown | Reform UK | Great Yarmouth First | 34.2% | low |
| Yarmouth North & Central | Reform UK | Great Yarmouth First | 34.2% | low |