After May 7
No overall control. Reform UK largest party
Council size: 42 seats · 15 up on May 7
Council · Unitary authority
North East Lincolnshire
No overall control. Reform UK largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
15 of 42 seats
Won 14 on May 7 · had 1 before · largest party
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for North East Lincolnshire
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croft Baker | Reform UK | Reform UK | 41.3% | high |
| East Marsh | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 41.1% | high |
| Freshney | Reform UK | Reform UK | 40.6% | high |
| Haverstoe | Reform UK | Reform UK | 40.7% | high |
| Heneage | Reform UK | Reform UK | 41.6% | high |
| Humberston and New Waltham | Reform UK | Reform UK | 40.5% | high |
| Immingham | Reform UK | Reform UK | 41.0% | high |
| Park | Reform UK | Reform UK | 41.1% | high |
| Scartho | Reform UK | Reform UK | 40.9% | high |
| Sidney Sussex | Reform UK | Reform UK | 41.4% | high |
| South | Reform UK | Reform UK | 42.1% | high |
| Waltham | Reform UK | Reform UK | 40.0% | high |
| West Marsh | Reform UK | Reform UK | 42.4% | high |
| Wolds | Reform UK | Reform UK | 40.1% | high |
| Yarborough | Reform UK | Reform UK | 40.6% | high |