Council · Metropolitan borough

North Tyneside Council

Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Labour majority

Council size: 60 seats · 20 up on May 7

Reform UK

10 of 60 seats

Won 10 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2027

By thirds, three years in four.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
39
Reform UK
10
Conservative
7
Green Party
2
Independent / Other
2

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for North Tyneside Council

15% 3 / 20 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.36pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+1.17pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
15
Reform UK
3
Conservative
2

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Backworth & Holystone Labour Labour 34.3% medium
Battle Hill Labour Reform UK 39.8% high
Camperdown Labour Reform UK 43.3% high
Chirton & Percy Main Labour Reform UK 42.1% medium
Cullercoats & Whitley Bay South Reform UK Labour 30.8% medium
Forest Hall Labour Labour 35.0% medium
Howdon Labour Reform UK 43.1% high
Killingworth Labour Reform UK 38.9% high
Longbenton & Benton Labour Labour 38.1% medium
Monkseaton Labour Labour 36.3% medium
New York & Murton Conservative Reform UK 39.1% medium
North Shields Labour Green Party 32.4% medium
Preston with Preston Grange Conservative Conservative 37.0% medium
Shiremoor Labour Reform UK 42.3% medium
St Mary's Reform UK Independent 30.4% high
Tynemouth Reform UK Conservative 30.6% high
Wallsend Central Labour Reform UK 44.9% medium
Wallsend North Labour Reform UK 45.5% medium
Weetslade Labour Reform UK 36.4% high
Whitley Bay North Labour Green Party 32.8% medium

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