After May 7
No overall control. Labour largest party
Council size: 60 seats · 20 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Oldham
No overall control. Labour largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
13 of 60 seats
Won 13 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Oldham
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra | Independent | The Oldham Group Party | 34.8% | high |
| Chadderton Central | Labour | Labour | 31.1% | high |
| Chadderton North | Labour | Reform UK | 40.2% | high |
| Chadderton South | Labour | Reform UK | 40.2% | high |
| Coldhurst | Independent | Independent | 40.3% | high |
| Crompton | Lib Dem | Reform UK | 28.8% | high |
| Failsworth East | Independent | Reform UK | 36.3% | high |
| Failsworth West | Independent | Reform UK | 38.3% | high |
| Hollinwood | Labour | Reform UK | 44.7% | high |
| Medlock Vale | Labour | Labour | 52.2% | high |
| Royton North | Conservative | Reform UK | 39.6% | high |
| Royton South | Independent | Reform UK | 33.4% | high |
| Saddleworth North | Lib Dem | Reform UK | 34.7% | high |
| Saddleworth South | Conservative | Lib Dem | 26.9% | high |
| Saddleworth West & Lees | Lib Dem | Reform UK | 49.1% | medium |
| Shaw | Independent | Reform UK | 32.1% | high |
| St James' | Labour | Reform UK | 34.0% | high |
| St Mary's | Labour | The Oldham Group Party | 62.2% | high |
| Waterhead | Independent | Reform UK | 38.2% | high |
| Werneth | Independent | Labour | 55.9% | high |