Location map of Pendle on the UK map

Council · District council

Pendle

No overall control. Independent / Other largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Independent / Other largest party

Council size: 33 seats · 10 up on May 7

Reform UK

5 of 33 seats

Won 4 on May 7 · had 1 before

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Independent / Other
12
Conservative
9
Lib Dem
7
Reform UK
5

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when Pendle next votes

Pendle sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Pendle

100% 10 / 10 winners called correctly across this council's wards
4.08pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+0.25pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
6
Independent
2
Lib Dem
1
Conservative
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Barnoldswick Lib Dem Lib Dem 50.7% high
Barrowford & Pendleside Conservative Conservative 35.2% high
Boulsworth & Foulridge Reform UK Reform UK 35.3% high
Bradley Reform UK Independent 40.3% high
Brierfield East & Clover Hill Independent Independent 40.4% high
Earby & Coates Reform UK Reform UK 32.5% high
Marsden & Southfield Reform UK Independent 36.2% high
Vivary Bridge Reform UK Reform UK 41.4% high
Waterside & Horsfield Reform UK Reform UK 35.9% high
Whitefield & Walverden Independent Independent 43.8% high

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