Location map of Peterborough on the UK map

Council · Unitary authority

Peterborough

No overall control. Labour largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Labour largest party

Council size: 60 seats · 18 up on May 7

Reform UK

4 of 60 seats

Won 4 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
15
Conservative
14
Independent / Other
14
Lib Dem
9
Green Party
5
Reform UK
4

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Peterborough

50% 9 / 18 winners called correctly across this council's wards
5.12pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+3.90pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
6
Conservative
4
Lib Dem
3
Labour
2
Peterborough First
2
Independent
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Bretton Conservative Reform UK 32.9% high
Central Reform UK Labour 29.6% high
Dogsthorpe Reform UK Conservative 29.6% high
East Labour Labour 31.1% high
Eye, Thorney & Newborough Conservative Reform UK 40.3% high
Fletton & Stanground Lib Dem Lib Dem 40.6% high
Fletton & Woodston Reform UK Green Party 28.8% high
Gunthorpe Lib Dem Lib Dem 34.1% high
Hampton Vale Reform UK Lib Dem 29.3% high
Hargate & Hempsted Conservative Conservative 30.6% high
North Labour Conservative 35.2% high
Orton Longueville Reform UK Reform UK 28.6% high
Orton Waterville Independent Green Party 32.4% high
Park Reform UK Conservative 29.2% high
Paston & Walton Lib Dem Conservative 34.1% high
Ravensthorpe Conservative Conservative 28.5% high
Stanground South Peterborough First Reform UK 36.5% high
Werrington Peterborough First Peterborough First 40.8% high

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