After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 60 seats · 21 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
Labour majority
Council size: 60 seats · 21 up on May 7
Reform UK
13 of 60 seats
Won 13 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barton & Winton | Reform UK | Labour | 34.5% | high |
| Blackfriars & Trinity | Labour | Green Party | 32.5% | high |
| Boothstown & Ellenbrook | Conservative | Conservative | 40.8% | high |
| Broughton | Labour | Labour | 41.7% | high |
| Cadishead & Lower Irlam | Labour | Reform UK | 46.5% | high |
| Claremont | Labour | Reform UK | 38.3% | high |
| Eccles | Labour | Labour | 32.2% | high |
| Higher Irlam & Peel Green | Labour | Reform UK | 43.4% | high |
| Kersal & Broughton Park | Conservative | Independent | 40.1% | high |
| Little Hulton | Labour | Reform UK | 43.5% | high |
| Ordsall | Labour | Green Party | 31.7% | high |
| Pendlebury & Clifton | Labour | Reform UK | 37.1% | high |
| Pendleton & Charlestown | Labour | Reform UK | 35.9% | high |
| Quays | Reform UK | Green Party | 30.4% | high |
| Swinton & Wardley | Labour | Reform UK | 36.9% | high |
| Swinton Park | Labour | Reform UK | 34.1% | high |
| Walkden North | Labour | Reform UK | 46.9% | high |
| Walkden South | Labour | Reform UK | 37.9% | high |
| Weaste & Seedley | Labour | Reform UK | 43.0% | high |
| Worsley & Westwood Park | Reform UK | Reform UK | 30.7% | high |