Council · Metropolitan borough

Salford City Council

Labour majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Labour majority

Council size: 60 seats · 21 up on May 7

Reform UK

13 of 60 seats

Won 13 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2027

By thirds, three years in four.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
35
Reform UK
13
Conservative
6
Green Party
3
Independent / Other
2
Lib Dem
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Salford City Council

20% 4 / 20 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.56pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-0.78pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour
15
Reform UK
4
Conservative
2

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Barton & Winton Reform UK Labour 33.9% high
Blackfriars & Trinity Labour Green Party 34.8% high
Boothstown & Ellenbrook Conservative Conservative 41.8% high
Broughton Labour Labour 43.9% high
Cadishead & Lower Irlam Labour Reform UK 48.8% high
Claremont Labour Reform UK 40.9% high
Eccles Labour Labour 34.1% high
Higher Irlam & Peel Green Labour Reform UK 45.6% high
Kersal & Broughton Park Conservative Independent 40.8% high
Little Hulton Labour Reform UK 45.8% high
Ordsall Labour Green Party 33.8% high
Pendlebury & Clifton Labour Reform UK 39.1% high
Pendleton & Charlestown Labour Reform UK 38.2% high
Quays Reform UK Green Party 30.6% high
Swinton & Wardley Labour Reform UK 38.8% high
Swinton Park Labour Reform UK 36.3% high
Walkden North Labour Reform UK 49.1% high
Walkden South Labour Reform UK 39.6% high
Weaste & Seedley Labour Reform UK 45.3% high
Worsley & Westwood Park Reform UK Reform UK 30.1% high

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