After May 7
Reform UK majority
Council size: 72 seats · 72 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Reform UK majority after May 7 2026. (Majority gained, previously Labour)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
Reform UK majority
Council size: 72 seats · 72 up on May 7
Reform UK
41 of 72 seats
Won 41 on May 7 · had 0 before · majority
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years.
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bearwood | Reform UK | Green Party | 33.5% | low |
| Blackheath | Labour | Reform UK | 40.6% | high |
| Bristnall | Labour | Reform UK | 50.4% | high |
| Charlemont & Grove Vale | Reform UK | Reform UK | 30.1% | low |
| Cradley Heath & Old Hill | Reform UK | Reform UK | 30.1% | low |
| Friar Park & Stone Cross | Reform UK | Reform UK | 33.5% | low |
| Great Barr, Tamebridge & Yew Tree | Reform UK | Labour | 30.1% | low |
| Great Bridge | Labour | Reform UK | 37.9% | high |
| Greets Green & Lyng | Reform UK | Labour | 30.1% | low |
| Hateley Heath | Labour | Labour | 50.4% | high |
| Hill Top | Reform UK | Reform UK | 30.1% | low |
| Langley | Labour | Reform UK | 53.0% | high |
| Newton & Valley | Reform UK | Labour | 30.1% | low |
| Old Warley | Labour | Reform UK | 38.1% | high |
| Oldbury | Labour | Labour | 52.1% | high |
| Princes End | Labour | Reform UK | 38.8% | high |
| Rowley | Labour | Reform UK | 43.6% | high |
| Smethwick | Labour | Labour | 54.3% | high |
| Soho & Victoria | Reform UK | Labour | 33.7% | low |
| St Pauls | Labour | Labour | 59.2% | high |
| Tipton Green | Independent | Reform UK | 37.1% | high |
| Tividale | Labour | Reform UK | 39.4% | high |
| Wednesbury | Reform UK | Reform UK | 30.0% | low |
| West Bromwich Central | Labour | Labour | 44.9% | high |