Location map of Sandwell on the UK map

Council · Metropolitan borough

Sandwell

Reform UK majority after May 7 2026. (Majority gained, previously Labour)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Reform UK majority

Council size: 72 seats · 72 up on May 7

Reform UK

41 of 72 seats

Won 41 on May 7 · had 0 before · majority

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Reform UK
41
Labour
28
Green Party
2
Independent / Other
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Sandwell

46% 11 / 24 winners called correctly across this council's wards
10.19pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
-6.88pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
24
Labour
24
Conservative
23
Independent
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Bearwood Reform UK Green Party 39.0% low
Blackheath Labour Reform UK 39.0% high
Bristnall Labour Reform UK 48.8% high
Charlemont & Grove Vale Reform UK Reform UK 34.4% low
Cradley Heath & Old Hill Reform UK Reform UK 34.4% low
Friar Park & Stone Cross Reform UK Reform UK 39.0% low
Great Barr, Tamebridge & Yew Tree Reform UK Labour 34.4% low
Great Bridge Labour Reform UK 36.4% high
Greets Green & Lyng Reform UK Labour 34.4% low
Hateley Heath Labour Labour 48.3% high
Hill Top Reform UK Reform UK 34.4% low
Langley Labour Reform UK 51.2% high
Newton & Valley Reform UK Labour 34.4% low
Old Warley Labour Reform UK 36.1% high
Oldbury Labour Labour 50.2% high
Princes End Labour Reform UK 37.4% high
Rowley Labour Reform UK 41.9% high
Smethwick Labour Labour 52.2% high
Soho & Victoria Reform UK Labour 39.2% low
St Pauls Labour Labour 57.4% high
Tipton Green Independent Reform UK 37.4% high
Tividale Labour Reform UK 37.7% high
Wednesbury Reform UK Reform UK 34.2% low
West Bromwich Central Labour Labour 43.1% high

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