After May 7
No overall control. Conservative largest party
Council size: 51 seats · 51 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Solihull
No overall control. Conservative largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Conservative)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
17 of 51 seats
Won 17 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2027
By thirds, three years in four.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Solihull
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balsall & Berkswell | Reform UK | Conservative | 37.3% | low |
| Blythe | Conservative | Conservative | 47.1% | high |
| Castle Bromwich | Conservative | Reform UK | 43.1% | high |
| Chelmsley Wood | Green Party | Reform UK | 50.7% | high |
| Dorridge & Hockley Heath | Reform UK | Conservative | 37.2% | low |
| Elmdon | Lib Dem | Reform UK | 30.8% | high |
| Fordbridge | Reform UK | Reform UK | 37.3% | low |
| Kingshurst & Smith's Wood | Reform UK | Reform UK | 37.3% | low |
| Knowle | Conservative | Conservative | 49.6% | high |
| Lyndon | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 32.7% | high |
| Meriden & Arden | Reform UK | Conservative | 37.3% | low |
| Olton | Lib Dem | Lib Dem | 30.1% | high |
| Shirley East & Sharmans Cross | Reform UK | Conservative | 37.3% | low |
| Shirley South | Green Party | Green Party | 38.3% | high |
| Shirley West | Green Party | Reform UK | 37.6% | high |
| Silhill | Conservative | Conservative | 42.2% | high |
| St Alphege with Monkspath & Hillfield | Reform UK | Conservative | 37.3% | low |