Council · Unitary authority

Somerset

Liberal Democrats majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Liberal Democrats majority

Council size: 110 seats · 1 up on May 7

Reform UK

2 of 110 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 2 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years.

Post-May 7 composition

Lib Dem

Conservative

Labour

Green Party

Independent / Other

Reform UK

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

0% 0 / 1 winners called correctly across this council's wards

6.00pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share

+9.28pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

Reform UK

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Ward	Our top pick	Actual winner	Predicted share	Confidence
Mendip Hills	Reform UK	Lib Dem	33.9%	medium