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Council · District council

South Cambridgeshire

Liberal Democrats majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Liberal Democrats majority

Council size: 45 seats · 45 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 45 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Lib Dem
43
Conservative
2

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when South Cambridgeshire next votes

South Cambridgeshire sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for South Cambridgeshire

69% 18 / 26 winners called correctly across this council's wards
7.07pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+6.31pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Lib Dem
20
Reform UK
13
Conservative
10
Green Party
1
Labour
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Balsham Lib Dem Lib Dem 37.1% medium
Bar Hill Conservative Lib Dem 41.9% medium
Barrington Lib Dem Lib Dem 46.0% medium
Bassingbourn Lib Dem Lib Dem 29.9% high
Caldecote Lib Dem Lib Dem 47.2% medium
Cambourne Reform UK Lib Dem 36.1% medium
Caxton & Papworth Reform UK Lib Dem 29.3% medium
Cottenham Lib Dem Lib Dem 32.3% high
Duxford Lib Dem Lib Dem 53.0% medium
Fen Ditton & Fulbourn Reform UK Lib Dem 40.3% medium
Foxton Lib Dem Lib Dem 41.4% medium
Gamlingay Lib Dem Lib Dem 40.1% high
Girton Lib Dem Lib Dem 32.7% high
Hardwick Conservative Lib Dem 38.6% medium
Harston & Comberton Reform UK Lib Dem 34.7% medium
Histon & Impington Lib Dem Lib Dem 31.3% medium
Linton Lib Dem Lib Dem 33.1% high
Longstanton Reform UK Lib Dem 34.1% high
Melbourn Lib Dem Lib Dem 36.1% high
Milton & Waterbeach Reform UK Lib Dem 40.6% medium
Over & Willingham Reform UK Lib Dem 35.6% medium
Sawston Reform UK Lib Dem 32.6% high
Shelford Reform UK Lib Dem 32.6% medium
Swavesey Conservative Lib Dem 40.5% medium
The Mordens Conservative Conservative 43.4% high
Whittlesford Conservative Conservative 47.2% high

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