Location map of Southend-on-Sea on the UK map

Council · Unitary authority

Southend-on-Sea

No overall control. Labour largest party after May 7 2026. (Remained no overall control, previously ncc)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

No overall control. Labour largest party

Council size: 51 seats · 17 up on May 7

Reform UK

9 of 51 seats

Won 8 on May 7 · had 2 before

Next election

May 2030

Whole council every 4 years.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour
17
Conservative
13
Reform UK
9
Independent / Other
5
Lib Dem
4
Green Party
3

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Southend-on-Sea

41% 7 / 17 winners called correctly across this council's wards
5.00pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+3.72pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK
14
Conservative
2
Green Party
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Belfairs Reform UK Reform UK 32.8% high
Blenheim Park Reform UK Reform UK 34.1% high
Chalkwell Reform UK Green Party 33.9% high
Eastwood Park Reform UK Lib Dem 33.5% high
Kursaal Reform UK Labour 34.8% high
Leigh Green Party Green Party 32.5% high
Milton Reform UK Labour 34.6% high
Prittlewell Reform UK Reform UK 33.8% high
Shoeburyness Reform UK Reform UK 33.7% high
Southchurch Conservative Conservative 35.6% high
St Laurence Reform UK Reform UK 34.9% high
St Luke's Reform UK Reform UK 34.0% high
Thorpe Reform UK Reform UK 33.5% high
Victoria Reform UK Labour 35.0% high
West Leigh Reform UK Conservative 33.4% high
West Shoebury Conservative Reform UK 35.4% high
Westborough Reform UK Labour 34.7% high

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