Location map of St Albans on the UK map

Council · District council

St Albans

Liberal Democrats majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Liberal Democrats majority

Council size: 56 seats · 22 up on May 7

Reform UK

0 of 56 seats

Won 0 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Lib Dem
47
Conservative
4
Green Party
2
Independent / Other
2
Labour
1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when St Albans next votes

St Albans sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for St Albans

75% 15 / 20 winners called correctly across this council's wards
6.36pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share
+1.59pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Lib Dem
16
Conservative
3
Reform UK
2
Green Party
1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward Our top pick Actual winner Predicted share Confidence
Batchwood Reform UK Lib Dem 33.6% high
Bernards Heath Lib Dem Lib Dem 41.7% high
Clarence Lib Dem Lib Dem 35.6% high
Colney Heath Lib Dem Lib Dem 44.0% high
Cunningham Lib Dem Lib Dem 47.5% high
Harpenden East Lib Dem Lib Dem 41.0% high
Harpenden North & Rural Conservative Lib Dem 36.1% high
Harpenden South Conservative Conservative 38.6% high
Harpenden West Lib Dem Conservative 33.0% high
Hill End Lib Dem Lib Dem 45.2% high
London Colney Lib Dem Lib Dem 27.3% high
Marshalswick East & Jersey Farm Lib Dem Lib Dem 38.6% high
Marshalswick West Lib Dem Lib Dem 43.4% medium
Park Street Lib Dem Lib Dem 34.7% high
Redbourn Lib Dem Independent 23.3% high
Sandridge & Wheathampstead Lib Dem Lib Dem 30.7% high
Sopwell Lib Dem Lib Dem 42.0% high
St Peters Green Party Lib Dem 31.9% high
St Stephen Lib Dem Lib Dem 35.9% high
Verulam Lib Dem Lib Dem 43.1% high

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