Stevenage. May 7 2026 result and what's next

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Labour majority

Council size: 39 seats · 14 up on May 7

Reform UK

9 of 39 seats

Won 9 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)

Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Labour

23

Reform UK

9

Lib Dem

6

Conservative

1

Independent / Other

1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

Local Government Reorganisation

Why we don't yet know when Stevenage next votes

Stevenage sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.

We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Stevenage

38% 5 / 13 winners called correctly across this council's wards

5.71pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share

-4.00pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Reform UK

8

Labour

4

Lib Dem

1

Conservative

1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward	Our top pick	Actual winner	Predicted share	Confidence
Almond Hill	Reform UK	Reform UK	36.7%	medium
Bandley Hill & Poplars	Labour	Reform UK	32.0%	medium
Bedwell	Reform UK	Labour	35.9%	high
Chells	Reform UK	Lib Dem	42.5%	high
Longmeadow	Labour	Reform UK	26.5%	high
Manor	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	43.2%	high
Martins Wood	Labour	Reform UK	26.8%	high
Old Town	Reform UK	Labour	38.0%	high
Roebuck	Reform UK	Reform UK	36.9%	high
Shephall	Reform UK	Reform UK	37.3%	high
St Nicholas	Reform UK	Labour	43.0%	high
Symonds Green	Reform UK	Reform UK	31.8%	high
Woodfield	Conservative	Reform UK	30.5%	high

← All councils