Stockport. May 7 2026 result and what's next

What happened on May 7

Seats won and overall control

After May 7

Liberal Democrats majority

Council size: 63 seats · 21 up on May 7

Reform UK

2 of 63 seats

Won 2 on May 7 · had 0 before

Next election

May 2027

By thirds, three years in four.

Post-May 7 composition

Every party's seat count on the new council

Lib Dem

33

Labour

16

Independent / Other

7

Green Party

4

Reform UK

2

Conservative

1

Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.

How accurate was the model here?

Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Stockport

62% 13 / 21 winners called correctly across this council's wards

6.98pp major-party MAE, average gap between predicted and actual share

+5.65pp Reform UK signed bias, positive = predicted hot, negative = predicted cold

Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →

Our locked May 7 forecast

The pre-election prediction

Labour

8

Lib Dem

6

Reform UK

4

Edgeley Community Association

1

Independent

1

Green Party

1

This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.

All wards

Per-ward forecast vs actual

Ward	Our top pick	Actual winner	Predicted share	Confidence
Bramhall North	Reform UK	Lib Dem	28.9%	high
Bramhall South & Woodford	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	31.3%	medium
Bredbury & Woodley	Labour	Lib Dem	31.6%	medium
Bredbury Green & Romiley	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	41.0%	medium
Brinnington & Stockport Central	Labour	Reform UK	37.1%	medium
Cheadle East & Cheadle Hulme North	Reform UK	Lib Dem	29.8%	medium
Cheadle Hulme South	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	34.9%	high
Cheadle West & Gatley	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	31.9%	medium
Davenport & Cale Green	Labour	Lib Dem	36.5%	medium
Edgeley	Edgeley Community Association	Edgeley Community Association	37.6%	medium
Hazel Grove	Reform UK	Lib Dem	29.3%	high
Heald Green	Independent	Independent	31.9%	high
Heatons North	Labour	Labour	39.8%	high
Heatons South	Labour	Labour	41.3%	high
Manor	Labour	Reform UK	37.6%	high
Marple North	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	29.9%	high
Marple South & High Lane	Lib Dem	Lib Dem	32.1%	medium
Norbury & Woodsmoor	Reform UK	Lib Dem	29.2%	medium
Offerton	Labour	Lib Dem	30.5%	high
Reddish North	Labour	Green Party	44.3%	high
Reddish South	Green Party	Green Party	38.0%	high

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