After May 7
Liberal Democrats majority
Council size: 41 seats · 1 up on May 7
Council · District council
Liberal Democrats majority after May 7 2026. (Majority held)
What happened on May 7
After May 7
Liberal Democrats majority
Council size: 41 seats · 1 up on May 7
Reform UK
1 of 41 seats
Won 0 on May 7 · had 1 before
Next election
TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)
Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.
Post-May 7 composition
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
Local Government Reorganisation
Stratford-on-Avon sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.
We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.
How accurate was the model here?
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop's Itchington, Fenny Compton & Napton | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 44.4% | medium |