After May 7
Reform UK majority
Council size: 75 seats · 70 up on May 7
Council · County council
Suffolk
Reform UK majority after May 7 2026. (Majority gained, previously Conservative)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
41 of 75 seats
Won 41 on May 7 · had 1 before · majority
Next election
TBC (Local Government Reorganisation)
Two-tier council under English Local Government Reorganisation. Next election date awaiting Statutory Instrument.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
Local Government Reorganisation
Why we don't yet know when Suffolk next votes
Suffolk sits in a two-tier county area under review for Local Government Reorganisation following the English Devolution White Paper (December 2024). The county council and its districts are expected to be replaced by one or more new unitary authorities. Until the Statutory Instrument is laid, the next election date is not in our gift to guess.
We'll flip this page from TBC to a confirmed date the moment the SI publishes.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Suffolk
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbeygate & Minden | Reform UK | Green Party | 35.2% | low |
| Aldeburgh & Leiston | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Barrow & Thingoe | Reform UK | Conservative | 35.6% | low |
| Beccles & Kessingland | Reform UK | Green Party | 35.6% | low |
| Belstead Hills | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Bixley | Conservative | Reform UK | 41.7% | medium |
| Blackbourn | Conservative | Conservative | 46.7% | medium |
| Blyth Estuary | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Bosmere | Conservative | Reform UK | 36.5% | medium |
| Brandon | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.1% | medium |
| Bridge | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.2% | medium |
| Brook | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Bungay | Reform UK | Green Party | 33.0% | medium |
| Carlford | Conservative | Conservative | 44.0% | medium |
| Carlton & Whitton | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Carlton Colville | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Clare | Conservative | Conservative | 44.4% | medium |
| Constable | Reform UK | Conservative | 35.6% | low |
| Cornard & Sudbury East | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Cosford | Green Party | Green Party | 47.1% | medium |
| Eastgate & Moreton Hall | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Exning & Newmarket | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Felixstowe Clifflands | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Felixstowe Maritime | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Framlingham & Wickham Market | Reform UK | Green Party | 35.6% | low |
| Gainsborough | Conservative | Reform UK | 39.6% | medium |
| Gipping | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Gipping Valley | Conservative | Reform UK | 39.6% | medium |
| Gunton | Conservative | Reform UK | 37.1% | medium |
| Hadleigh | Conservative | Green Party | 33.7% | medium |
| Halesworth | Green Party | Green Party | 39.1% | medium |
| Harbour | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Hardwick | Conservative | Conservative | 43.4% | medium |
| Hartismere | Conservative | Reform UK | 35.9% | medium |
| Haverhill East & Rural | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Haverhill North West & Withersfield | Reform UK | Conservative | 35.6% | low |
| Haverhill South | Reform UK | Reform UK | 40.0% | low |
| Hoxne & Eye | Reform UK | Green Party | 35.6% | low |
| Kesgrave | Reform UK | Conservative | 35.6% | low |
| Kirkley & Pakefield | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Martlesham | Conservative | Reform UK | 42.1% | medium |
| Melford | Independent | Independent | 36.6% | medium |
| Mildenhall | Reform UK | Reform UK | 33.9% | medium |
| Newmarket & Red Lodge | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Oulton | Conservative | Reform UK | 42.4% | medium |
| Oulton Broad & Normanston | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Peninsula | Reform UK | Reform UK | 32.8% | medium |
| Priory Heath | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | medium |
| Row Heath | Conservative | Reform UK | 40.0% | medium |
| Rushmere | Reform UK | Labour | 35.3% | medium |
| Rushmere St Andrew | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Saxmundham & District | Reform UK | Independent | 35.4% | low |
| St Clement's | Reform UK | Labour | 35.6% | low |
| St Margaret's | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 35.6% | low |
| St Olaves & Tollgate | Reform UK | Reform UK | 39.7% | low |
| Stour Valley | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.1% | medium |
| Stowmarket East | Reform UK | Reform UK | 42.8% | low |
| Stowmarket West | Reform UK | Green Party | 40.0% | low |
| Sudbury West | Reform UK | Green Party | 35.6% | low |
| Thedwastre North | Green Party | Green Party | 33.7% | medium |
| Thedwastre South | Reform UK | Green Party | 34.6% | medium |
| Thredling | Conservative | Conservative | 46.3% | medium |
| Upper Gipping | Green Party | Green Party | 47.9% | medium |
| Walton & Trimleys | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Westbourne | Reform UK | Reform UK | 35.6% | low |
| Westgate | Reform UK | Labour | 35.6% | low |
| Whitton | Reform UK | Reform UK | 47.7% | low |
| Wilford | Conservative | Reform UK | 33.9% | medium |
| Woodbridge | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 34.8% | medium |