After May 7
Reform UK majority
Council size: 75 seats · 75 up on May 7
Council · Metropolitan borough
Sunderland
Reform UK majority after May 7 2026. (Majority gained, previously Labour)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
58 of 75 seats
Won 58 on May 7 · had 0 before · majority
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Sunderland
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnes & Thornhill | Reform UK | Labour | 46.2% | low |
| Deptford & Hendon | Reform UK | Reform UK | 46.2% | low |
| Doxford Park | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 46.2% | low |
| Farringdon & Silksworth | Reform UK | Reform UK | 46.2% | low |
| Fulwell | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 31.0% | high |
| Grangetown | Reform UK | Reform UK | 46.2% | low |
| Grindon & Thorney Close | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 53.7% | low |
| Herrington & Newbottle | Reform UK | Reform UK | 46.2% | low |
| Hetton | Reform UK | Reform UK | 63.8% | high |
| Houghton North | Reform UK | Reform UK | 46.2% | low |
| Houghton South & Hetton Downs | Reform UK | Reform UK | 46.2% | low |
| Hylton Castle | Reform UK | Reform UK | 53.7% | low |
| Pallion & Ford | Reform UK | Lib Dem | 46.0% | low |
| Pennywell & South Hylton | Reform UK | Reform UK | 46.2% | low |
| Penshaw & Shiney Row | Reform UK | Reform UK | 46.2% | low |
| Redhouse | Reform UK | Reform UK | 46.0% | low |
| Roker | Reform UK | Reform UK | 46.2% | low |
| Ryhope | Labour | Reform UK | 45.0% | high |
| Southwick | Labour | Reform UK | 44.5% | high |
| Tunstall & Humbledon | Reform UK | Reform UK | 46.2% | low |
| Washington Central | Labour | Reform UK | 44.9% | high |
| Washington East | Labour | Reform UK | 35.9% | high |
| Washington North | Labour | Reform UK | 50.7% | high |
| Washington South | Reform UK | Reform UK | 31.9% | high |
| Washington West | Labour | Labour | 38.4% | high |