After May 7
No overall control. Conservative largest party
Council size: 57 seats · 57 up on May 7
Council · Unitary authority
Swindon
No overall control. Conservative largest party after May 7 2026. (Majority lost, previously Labour)
What happened on May 7
Seats won and overall control
Reform UK
14 of 57 seats
Won 14 on May 7 · had 0 before
Next election
May 2030
Whole council every 4 years.
Post-May 7 composition
Every party's seat count on the new council
Pre-May-7 composition is the latest OCD snapshot of who held each seat; post is pre minus seats up plus actual winners.
How accurate was the model here?
Our 7 May 2026 forecast for Swindon
Locked, sha256-witnessed forecast scored against the actual count. See the full national accuracy audit →
Our locked May 7 forecast
The pre-election prediction
This is the seats-on-the-ballot projection we published before polls opened, used here for accuracy comparison only.
All wards
Per-ward forecast vs actual
| Ward | Our top pick | Actual winner | Predicted share | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badbury Park, Eldene & Liden | Reform UK | Labour | 33.4% | low |
| Blunsdon | Reform UK | Conservative | 33.4% | low |
| Broadgreen | Reform UK | Conservative | 33.4% | low |
| Chiseldon & Ridgeway | Reform UK | Conservative | 33.4% | low |
| Covingham & Nythe | Reform UK | Conservative | 38.7% | low |
| Gorse Hill | Reform UK | Labour | 33.4% | low |
| Haydon Wick | Labour | Reform UK | 31.6% | high |
| Highworth | Reform UK | Conservative | 33.4% | low |
| Kingshill | Reform UK | Labour | 33.4% | low |
| Lower Stratton | Reform UK | Conservative | 33.4% | low |
| Lydiard, Freshbrook & Toothill | Reform UK | Reform UK | 33.4% | low |
| Old Town & Lawn | Reform UK | Labour | 33.4% | low |
| Parks | Reform UK | Labour | 33.4% | low |
| Penhill & Pinehurst | Reform UK | Reform UK | 34.9% | low |
| Priory Vale | Conservative | Conservative | 33.3% | high |
| Queen's Park | Reform UK | Labour | 33.4% | low |
| Rodbourne Cheney | Reform UK | Reform UK | 29.5% | high |
| Rodbourne Ferndale & Western | Reform UK | Labour | 34.9% | low |
| Shaw & Westlea | Reform UK | Conservative | 33.4% | low |
| South Marston | Reform UK | Conservative | 38.8% | low |
| St Andrews East | Reform UK | Conservative | 34.9% | low |
| St Andrews West & Tadpole | Reform UK | Conservative | 33.4% | low |
| Upper Stratton | Reform UK | Reform UK | 33.4% | low |
| Walcot | Reform UK | Labour | 33.4% | low |
| Wroughton & Wichelstowe | Reform UK | Conservative | 33.4% | low |